Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 210447 AAB
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1147 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

A quiet and cool remainder of the weekend is in store for central
Nebraska. A high-amplitude ridge will remain across the western US
with surface high pressure remaining across the central US through
Sunday morning. As the ridge begins to flatten out on Sunday, high
pressure will drift a little further southeast. However, even with
the center of the high drifting further southeast, dry weather will
continue on Sunday as the outside periphery of continues to affect
the central Plains. Will keep temperatures on the cooler side
through Sunday. Lows tonight will be very similar to last night
(Friday night) as they drop into the mid to upper 40s. Highs Sunday
rebound into the mid-80s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

Models continue with similar patterns in mid and log term
solutions and will use a blend for the forecast. Have good
confidence in the mid term and modest confidence in the long term
solutions after Wednesday. On the backside of the surface high
Sunday night with upslope flow southerly winds and good warm air
advection as heights build over western Nebraska...lows around 60.
Next closed low over southwest Canada Monday morning and will
help to sharpen ridge into the Northern plains with temperatures
climbing into the low 90s. Upper system moves into northern plains
Monday night into Tuesday with slightly cooler temperatures.
Cooler air to trail with cold front Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday morning. Highs in the 80s Tuesday and in the 50s
Wednesday morning. Scattered thunderstorms with the fropa Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Fairly weak shear associated with the
system. Upper low lingers over south central Canada for several
days and have precipitation in the forecast over mainly southern
Nebraska through the end of the period with highs in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat Aug 20 2016

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 48 hours across western
and north central Nebraska. Mostly clear skies are currently
present across the forecast area. Winds have dropped off with
very light winds being reported at sites. Winds are anticipated to
pickup some in the early morning, out of the southwest. Light
winds will then prevail in the daytime tomorrow, peaking at 10 to
15 mph. CU is expected to develop again, FEW-SCT coverage, with
bases around 6000-8000 feet AGL tomorrow.

&&

.LBF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Power
AVIATION...ET



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