Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KLBF 280431
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1131 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

AT H5 STRONG RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WITH WAVE MOVING INTO
THE TOP OF THE RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DEEP TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS WITH COLD FRONT AND PRECIPITATION OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA SNOW AND RAINSHOWERS CONTINUE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DRIFT EAST AND WILL STALL ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN NEB OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY WARM SURGE WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW. EAST OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING A FEW
ISOLATED SPRINKLES/FLURRIES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE BEST LIFT HAS
PUSHED EAST OF THE AREA AND WILL HAVE A DRY FORECAST. CLEARING IN
THE WEST WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE 30S. A FEW UPPER 20S
ACROSS FAR N CENTRAL WHERE TEMPS STRUGGLED TO WARM BENEATH THE
STRATUS AND COLD AIR. SOME CONCERN AREAS NEAR ONL MAY FALL INTO THE
MID 20S IF MORE CLEARING THAN EXPECTED OCCURS. BUT SHOULD SEE SOME
WAA OVERNIGHT AND TEMPS MAY FALL QUICKLY TO 30 THEN HOLD MOSTLY
STEADY THROUGH THE NIGHT.

TOMORROW WITH THE NEXT SURGE OF WARM AIR...TEMPS WILL BE CLIMBING
AGAIN. GUIDANCE ACROSS THE WEST IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S...AND WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOMEONE HIT 80. WARM AIR WILL BE SLOW TO GET
EAST OF 183 WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S ACROSS N CENTRAL. SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE PICKING UP IN THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD
GUST TO 20 MAYBE 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

MODELS FACE SOME TIMING ISSUES IN MID AND LONG TERM SOLUTIONS.
ELEVATED INSTABILITY MOVES ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA LATE SATURDAY.
OUTLOOKED FOR GENERAL BUT CONFIDENCE LACKING SO HAVE LEFT
RAINSHOWERS IN THE FORECAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MILD NIGHT WITH LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE 40S AND BREEZY. HIGHS SUNDAY IN THE 60S AS COOLER
PACIFIC AIR BEHIND FRONT MOVES IN AND BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS
CONTINUE. CLEARING SKIES WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS WARM AIR UNDER THE RIDGE
SHIFTS EAST AND SURFACE TROUGH BUILDS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
TUESDAY NIGHT COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA WITH
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S AND LOWS IN THE 30S. COOLER THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS WEAK WAVES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SLIGHT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

UNLIMITED CEILING AND VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED THE REST OF TONIGHT
AND THROUGH SATURDAY. SATURDAY EVENING AFTER 00Z...CONVERGENCE ALONG
A SURFACE FRONT MAY TRIGGER AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF
IEN-OGA WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS JUST NORTH AND WEST OF
AN ONL-IML LINE. ONLY ONE MODEL OF TWO SHOWS ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO
INSPIRE CONFIDENCE IN INCLUDING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TERMINAL
FORECASTS FOR VTN AND LBF.

WIND WILL CONTINUE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5KT OR LOWER THROUGH THE
NIGHT. DURING THE MORNING THOUGH...WIND WILL TURN MORE TO 160-190 AT
12-14G19-22KT AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 330 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

TOMORROW TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE 70S WEST OF HIGHWAY 83...AND DEW PTS
TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S. RH VALUES LIKELY AT OR BELOW 20
PERCENT...AND COULD LOCALLY SEE VALUES AROUND 15 PERCENT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH THE DAY GENERALLY AROUND 15 MPH WITH MAYBE A HOUR OR 2
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS WHERE GUSTS COULD BE AROUND
20 MPH. THE COMBINATION OF WARM/DRY CONDITIONS AND BREEZY WINDS WILL
CREATE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOR ZONE 204. FURTHER EAST TEMPS
COOLER WITH A LITTLE BETTER SFC MOISTURE AND RH VALUES MAY NOT EVEN
REACH 20 PERCENT.

COOLER FOR SUNDAY THEN WARMING FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WARMEST DAY
LOOKS TO BE TUESDAY AND MINIMUM RH VALUES LIKELY TO APPROACH
CRITICAL 15 PERCENT. HOWEVER WINDS AT THIS TIME LOOK TO BE AROUND OR
LESS THAN 15 MPH. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...POWER
SHORT TERM...MASEK
LONG TERM...POWER
AVIATION...SPRINGER
FIRE WEATHER...MASEK






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.