Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 281748
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1248 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

HAVE RETAINED ISOLATED THUNDER THROUGH MID MORNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AS SHOWERS HAVE BEEN VERY SLOW TO MOVE THIS MORNING. COULD
BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY IN WRAPAROUND
BUT HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN FORECAST AS SHOULD BE NEGLIGIBLE. CLOUDS
AND THEIR AFFECT ON TEMPERATURES WILL BE FOCUS IN NEAR TERM. CLOUDS
WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR OUT OF NORTH CENTRAL ZONES WITH UPPER 70S AND
UPPER 80S SOUTHWEST WITH MORE INSOLATION. NORTH WINDS UNDER 10KTS
TODAY AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST OVER NIGHT. OVER NIGHT LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S AND DRY.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE PACIFIC NW MOVES INTO THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THIS WILL KEEP A THERMAL RIDGE INTO THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS AND THE RETURN OF SUMMER-LIKE
TEMPERATURES TO WESTERN NEBRASKA WITH 86 TO 94 SATURDAY AND 88 TO
95 SUNDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AT H85 INCREASES ON SUNDAY ACROSS
ERN CO AND THE NEBR PANHANDLE. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

AS CONVERGENCE DEVELOPS ALONG THE LEE SIDE TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN
CO AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLE ON MONDAY...MOISTURE WILL BE IN
PLACE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP WEST OF THE FA MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE 0-6KM SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE 20 KNOTS OR LOWER AND
THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ENERGY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG...SO SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT LIKELY.

HIGHS TEMPERATURES MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE
ABOVE NORMAL MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.

AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE DRY LINE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS
EAST OF A LINE FROM KVTN TO KLBF...WITH STRATUS LINGERING INTO THE
MID AFTERNOON HOURS EAST OF A LINE FROM KANW TO KBBW. NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS. UNCERTAINTY DOES
EXIST WITH RESPECT TO THE REDEVELOPMENT FOR FOG TOMORROW MORNING IN
THE VICINITY OF THE KLBF TERMINAL. UNDER CLEAR SKIES...VARIABLE
WINDS UNDER 5 KNOTS...AND MODERATE SUBSIDENCE...DO BELIEVE IT IS
POSSIBLE FOR PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP AROUND 11Z SATURDAY MORNING NEAR
THE KLBF TERMINAL. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE INSERTED 4SM VISIBILITIES
AT THIS TIME FOR KLBF BETWEEN 11Z AND 15Z ON THE 29TH OF AUGUST.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...POWER
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...MASEK/MOLDAN



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