Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KLBF 291057
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
557 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

ANALYSIS OF THE 07Z MSL DATA SHOWED THAT THE FRONT HAD BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS MISSOURI...KANSAS...OKLAHOMA AND
COLORADO. THERE WAS ALSO A BOUNDARY INDICATED ACROSS THE DAKOTAS
FROM A CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN MANITOBA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

SOUTH FLOW DEVELOPS AS EARLY AS LATE THIS AFTERNOON ON THE HIGH
PLAINS WHEN THE WEAK FRONT PRESSES NORTH FROM SOUTHERN WYOMING
AND STALLS ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPE OF THE ROCKIES AND MOISTURE
BEGINS RETURNING TO CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND TO THE
SANDHILLS. OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE FRONT CONTINUES OVER
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO
KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES ARE THE NEWS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. HIGHS TODAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD. THE
WESTERN RIDGE DOES AMPLIFLY ACROSS THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
A SLIGHT PUSH UP OF TEMPS FOR THE HIGH PLAINS. TEMPS GO FROM THE
MID AND UPPER 80S TO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S.. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH GUIDANCE DROPPING
TEMPS BACK INTO THE 80S. LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 60S.

THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL FAVOR SEVERAL MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO
PUSH ACROSS THE AREA. SOME CONCERN INITIALLY WITH MOISTURE AS
PWATS ONLY NEAR 1 INCH...WHICH IS LOW FOR THE FIRST OF AUGUST.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF MOISTURE...WHICH IS NOT
THAT FAR SOUTH...AND PWATS RETURN TO 1.50 INCHES OR HIGHER FOR
THE WEEKEND.

LITTLE IF ANY CHANCE FOR POPS THURSDAY...AND WILL CONFINE TO FAR
SW ZONES WHERE MOISTURE RETURN IS BEST. FRIDAY STILL DOES NOT
LOOK GREAT BUT BETTER DYNAMICS UPSTAIRS AND WITH COOL TEMPS
ALOFT...MAY BE ENOUGH TO ERODE THE CAP. BETTER CHANCES OVER THE
WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH STILL WILL FOCUS ON MODEL BLEND FOR TIMING OF
THE WAVES. GENERALLY THE BEST TIME WILL BE IN THE TYPICAL LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING AND WILL FAVOR HIGHEST POPS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 555 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

UNLIMITED CEILING AND VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT. WIND WILL BE LIGHT IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND
260-280 AT 10-14KT IN THE NORTH.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SPRINGER
SHORT TERM...SPRINGER
LONG TERM...MASEK
AVIATION...SPRINGER


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.