Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 162009

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
309 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Only item of concern in the short term period will be the chance
for some additional light rain showers across the Devils Lake
basin. A shortwave currently situated near the Montana/North
Dakota border is expected to lift to the north and east, possibly
bringing the edge of any precipitation to the far northwestern
forecast area. Anything that does fall should be light with
not much for impacts.

Cloud cover will slowly begin to clear out across the south during
the overnight hours with clearing gradually pushing northward during
the day on Sunday. Still think winds will stay up enough to inhibit
any fog potential but will have to be monitored.

Dry and quiet to end the weekend with high pressure building in and
temperatures warming back up to around the 60 degree mark (possibly
mid 60s down south).

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Isolated rain showers are possible Sunday night into Monday morning
with overnight temperatures dropping into the upper 40s and low 50s.
Monday will see a brief warm up with highs reaching the low to mid
70s and southerly winds across the region. A cold front is expected
to progress through central and eastern North Dakota Tuesday
afternoon/evening and northwestern Minnesota into the Tuesday
overnight hours. Rain showers and thunderstorms are likely during
this period, however, forecast uncertainty remains with regard to
thunderstorm severity and coverage. Dry and mild conditions are
expected for Wednesday and Thursday with highs reaching the upper
60s to low 70s. Rain chances return to the forecast overnight
Thursday into Friday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Visibility restrictions in fog continue to improve across the
area while clouds are expected to remain. IFR ceilings to continue
into the afternoon before gradually lifting to MVFR. Weakening
band of showers tracking from southwest to northeast this afternoon
will continue to decrease in intensity so included just a few
hours of VCSH. Another area of showers moving in from western
North Dakota might just skirt KDVL later this afternoon and
evening but they should be just on the edge so didn`t include in
the TAF at this time.




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