Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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000
FXUS63 KFGF 250839
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
339 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

WITHIN THE LARGER UPPER TROUGH OVER WYOMING/SD/NEBRASKA REGION
AREA SEVERAL SMALLER MID LEVEL SHORT WAVES. ONE IS IN ERN SD AND
THIS WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST THRU CNTRL MN TODAY. THIS HAS
BROUGHT THE ENHANCED LIGHT RAIN WHICH HAS LONG BEEN FORECASTED FOR
SRN ND INTO CNTRL MN. ALL MODELS NOW SHOW THE NRN EDGE OF LIGHT
RAIN TODAY VERY NEAR A WASKISH-RED LAKE FALLS-CROOKSTON-GRAND
FORKS-NEW ROCKFORD LINE...WITH ITS NRN EXTENT LATE MORNING BEFORE
DROPPIN BACK SOUTH IN THE AFTN. GRIDS FOLLOWED THIS WELL SO ONLY
MINOR TWEEKS WERE NEEDED. RAINFALL WILL END THIS EVE IN WCNTRL MN.
TUESDAY WILL SEE MORE SUN AND IT WILL BE A WARM DAY WITH HIGHS
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM SRN SASK INTO
SRN MANITOBA ALONG WITH SOME WEAK INSTABILITY WILL GENERATE A FEW
T-STORMS IN THE AFTN/EVE OVER NE ND/NW MN. MINOR EVENT AND KEPT
POPS IN THE 20-30 RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

ANOTHER WARM DAY ON WEDNESDAY WITH 70S AND LOWER 80S. SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY REMAINS MAINLY NEAR A BOUNDARY IN SRN CANADA SO
MAINTAINED A LOW POP NRN AREAS FOR ANY AFTN T-STORMS.

FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...GENERALLY WILL STAY IN ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT THROUGH THE PERIOD. WILL HAVE ONE SHORT WAVE THAT WILL AFFECT
THE AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. BEST CHANCES FOR PCPN WILL BE
THURSDAY THEN SLOWLY TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY. COLD
FRONT SLIDES THROUGH THE AREA THU NIGHT WHICH WILL RESULT IN MUCH
COOLER TEMPS FRI INTO SAT. SAT MORNING LOWS COULD BE IN THE UPPER
30S IN SOME LOCATIONS WITH HIGHS FRI/SAT IN THE 60S. TEMPS THEN
MODERATE BY SUN INTO MONDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

VFR CIGS WERE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. CIGS RANGED FROM ABOVE 12
THOUSAND FT IN THE NORTH TO AROUND 6 THOUSAND FT IN THE SOUTHERN
ZONES. SOME MVFR CIGS AROUND 24 HUNDRED FT WERE OVER THE FAR
SOUTH AT ELBOW LAKE. IFR CIGS WERE FARTHER SOUTHEAST. EXPECT
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES FOR TONIGHT AND
MON MORNING. VFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH AND WEST THROUGH
MON.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RIDDLE
LONG TERM...GODON/RIDDLE
AVIATION...HOPPES



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