Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
FXUS63 KDDC 272000
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
200 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015
...Updated short term section...
.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Saturday)
ISSUED AT 200 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2015
The upper level low will continue to move east and through the
Rockies during the short term period with a strong upper level jet
positioned south of this feature extending into the central
Plains. Low level moisture will remain in place across the
forecast area, however, mid levels of the atmosphere above west,
west central, and central Kansas look to dry out tonight through
tomorrow. Without copious moisture in the dendrite zone any
precipitation that falls across this area should fall as freezing
drizzle. Mid levels of the atmosphere across south central Kansas
look to remain moist. Precipitation will most likely fall as a mix
of rain, sleet, and snow as a strong warm tongue continues just
above the surface. Skies tonight into tomorrow look to remain
mostly cloudy with continued northerly winds. As for temperatures,
lows are anticipated to range from the lower teens across the
KS/CO border to lower 20s across central and south central Kansas.
Highs tomorrow are expected to reach into the mid to upper 20s.
.LONG TERM...(Saturday THROUGH Thursday)
ISSUED AT 238 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015
Lingering chances for a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain
can be expected into Saturday and Sunday as the upper level low
slowly moves eastward, with occasional bouts of isentropic lift.
Temperatures will moderate a little each day as the cold surface
high is gradually eroded. Temperatures will be below freezing
through Sunday with a continued gradual warming trend next week.
How much warming occurs will depend on how much snow cover exists
by Sunday. High temperatures may warm into the 40s or 50s by later
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Saturday AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015
VFR conditions are expected this afternoon as most of the snow
showers have moved out of the area. However, there still could be
a few pockets of snow across the DDC and GCK terminals bringing
brief MVFR conditions. Snow chances increase this evening into the
overnight period bringing periods of MVFR ceilings and
visibilities. Winds will generally be from the north this
afternoon gusting to around 23 knots decreasing to 10 to 12 knots
this evening into the overnight hours.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC 20 27 22 33 / 70 40 30 20
GCK 17 27 20 33 / 40 30 20 20
EHA 14 30 21 35 / 50 30 10 10
LBL 18 29 22 34 / 70 50 20 20
HYS 20 28 22 32 / 30 30 30 30
P28 24 31 25 36 / 80 50 40 30
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Saturday for
Winter Storm Warning until midnight CST tonight for KSZ046-
Ice Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ081-089-090.