Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 151045
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
345 AM MST MON SEP 15 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. A STRONGER MOISTURE SURGE IS EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING STORM COVERAGE THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
AGAIN TODAY AND TUESDAY AS MODERATE LEVELS OF MOISTURE REMAIN IN
PLACE.

ON WEDNESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE SHOW A SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE INCREASE
AS WINDS ALOFT BECOME SOUTHERLY...CAUSING OUR CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS TO CLIMB INTO THE 60-80 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE NORTHLAND.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...REMNANT MOISTURE FROM ODILE
MAY INTERACT WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING DOWN THE WEST
COAST. LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS COULD BE
POSSIBLE...THOUGH DETAILS SHOULD BECOME MORE CLEAR OVER NEXT
COUPLE DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...SCT SHRA/TSRA AFT 18Z MON ALONG AND SOUTH OF
A LINE FROM KGCN/KFLG/KSOW. ELSEWHERE...ISOLD OR NO CELL
ACTIVITY. STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS AND
VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 35KTS. CONVECTION DECREASING AFTER 02Z-03Z
TUESDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......PETERSON

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF










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