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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 012211
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
311 PM MST SUN FEB 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOOK FOR DRY AND MUCH WARMER WEATHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
UNDER DEVELOPING HIGH PRESSURE. LOCALIZED FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH MIDWEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL
BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER TO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERNS CONTINUE TO CENTER ON FOG AND LOW
CLOUD DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WERE OBSERVED THIS
MORNING EAST OF FLAGSTAFF ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT LOWER ELEVATIONS TO THE NORTH...AS WELL AS VALLEY
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN/NORTHEASTERN ARIZONA. THE FOG/CLOUDS WERE A
BIT SLOW TO DISSIPATE...BUT FINALLY BROKE UP AROUND NOON IN MOST
SPOTS WITH ONLY A FEW LOW CLOUDS LINGERING. DAYTIME HEATING AND
AFTERNOON WINDS HAVE LEAD TO SOME BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING THIS
AFTERNOON AND SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES LOWER
IN MOST AREAS THAN 24 HOURS AGO. LESS MIXING IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS NORTH OF THE RIM...THE NORTHEAST ARIZONA VALLEYS...AND
THE PAGE/LAKE POWELL AREAS WILL KEEP THESE LOCATIONS SUSCEPTIBLE
TO FOG AND LOW CLOUD FORMATION AGAIN TONIGHT AND HAVE ADDED THIS
INTO THE FORECAST.

A STABLE PATTERN WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO OUR WEST OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS COULD PROLONG THE OVERNIGHT FOG/LOW CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT BEYOND TONIGHT AND THIS WILL HAVE TO MONITORED.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 10 TO EVEN 15 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR EARLY FEBRUARY.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SKC-SCT CIRRUS. AREAS OF STRATUS AND FOG
EXPECTED TO RETURN FROM 08Z-18Z MON IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY AND LAKE POWELL AREAS AFFECTING KINW AND KPGA WITH IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS.  AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCS
AVIATION.......DL

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF