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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 051642
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST THU DEC 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTHERN APACHE COUNTY
TODAY. HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MUCH BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH  MONDAY...AND ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HAVE MADE SOME MINOR UPDATES TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST
TO MAKE ADJUSTMENTS FOR CLOUDS/CLEAR AREAS AS WELL AS TO REMOVE THE
MENTION OF FOG.

LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN APACHE COUNTY
TODAY...WITH UP TO AN INCH OR TWO OF ADDITIONAL SNOW.

THE VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE
TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING IN ALL BUT THE LOWEST ELEVATIONS. SOME
LOCATIONS IN NRN AZ WILL SEE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS BELOW ZERO DEGREES
AGAIN TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NRN AZ THIS WEEKEND. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE FOR GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY...WITH SNOW DEVELOPING
ACROSS WRN AZ SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS
NRN AZ SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE BULK OF SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR THEN.
PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE FOR GENERALLY LOW-END AMOUNTS WITH 3 TO 7
INCHES OF SNOW FOR AREAS ABOVE 5000 FEET AND 1-3 INCHES BELOW 5000
FEET.

MODELS INDICATE A FLAT RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST FROM MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WEATHER SHOULD BE DRY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
STRONG LOW LEVEL TEMP INVERSION WHICH SUGGESTS WARMER DAYTIME TEMPS
FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY BUT VALLEY AREAS REMAINING COLD.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT COLD AND CLEARING WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DB
AVIATION.......BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF