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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 050405
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
905 PM MST WED DEC 4 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA
TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT STALLS IN THE AREA. OTHERWISE...CLEARING
SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES...INCLUDING MANY
BELOW ZERO READINGS AT HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS. THIS COLD AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND 30S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE AREA SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA TODAY IS EXPECTED TO STALL AND WEAKEN IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS
AREA TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...AND WILL BRING CONTINUED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS TO THAT AREA UNTIL ANOTHER DRY SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH NORTHERN AZ THURSDAY PUSHING THE FRONT THROUGH. BEHIND THE
FRONT...A VERY COLD AIR MASS HAS SETTLED IN WITH SOME OBSERVATIONS
OF BELOW ZERO TEMPERATURES ALREADY ON THE KAIBAB PLATEAU. HAVE SENT
EVENING FORECAST UPDATES TO ADDRESS COLDER TEMPERATURES MAINLY NEAR
THE UTAH BORDER...AS WELL AS ADJUSTMENTS TO PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
AND PROBABILITIES TO KEEP THESE CONFINED MAINLY TO THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS AREA.

THE VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NRN AZ MAY
SEE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS FALL BELOW ZERO DEGREES AGAIN TOMORROW
NIGHT. DAYTIME TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING IN ALL
BUT THE LOWEST ELEVATIONS.

ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO THE REGION ALONG WITH A
GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW AT MOST ELEVATIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A
STALLED COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE FROM AROUND KZ95-KRQE EASTWARD TO
NEW MEXICO THROUGH 18Z THEN MOVE EASTWARD. EXPECT PREDOMINANTLY
IFR-MVFR CONDITIONS WITH LOCAL LIFR. TO THE WEST...EXPECT
PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS...ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS OF IFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE IN FOG AND LOW CLOUD UNTIL AROUND 17Z.
AFTER 18Z...EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN AZ. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS


&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DJO/DB
AVIATION.......DJO

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF