Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

FXUS65 KFGZ 242231

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
330 PM MST Fri Mar 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure brought dry and warmer conditions
to northern Arizona today. The next trough of low pressure will
cross the state Saturday bringing slightly cooler temperatures and a
chance of rain showers mainly from Flagstaff northward. Fair weather
is expected Sunday, then another low pressure system will arrive
Monday into Tuesday.


.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure moving across Arizona
today with clear skies and much warmer temperatures.

The next fast-moving trough of low pressure will cross northern
Arizona Saturday and Saturday evening. High temperatures will drop
back down several degrees with a chance of showers developing mainly
from Flagstaff northward. Snow levels generally remaining above 7500
to 8000 feet with little or no accumulation expected. Fair weather
returns Sunday with daytime temperatures near to a few degrees above

A progressive pattern continues next week with a couple of storm
systems forecast to affect the region, one Monday into Tuesday and
another Friday or Saturday. These systems are taking a northwest to
southeast track which is usually not the wettest for us, but will
definitely need to be watched. Models are not in very good agreement
(up to 24 hours off on timing) so confidence is low. More details
will be available in the next few days on these systems so stay


.AVIATION...For the 00Z Package...Predominantly VFR conditions are
expected through the next 24 hrs. A weather system passing through
northern AZ Saturday afternoon/evening will bring scattered SHRA
primarily from KFLG northward where local MVFR conditions will be
possible. SW winds increasing Saturday to 10-20 kts gusting near 30
kts through the afternoon. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF





For Northern Arizona weather information visit is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.