Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 111642
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
942 AM MST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WARM
WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO
15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS
REMAINS ON TRACK. A FEW NEW RECORD HIGHS MAY BE SET
TODAY...BREAKING IN SOME CASES...RECORD HIGHS THAT WERE JUST SET
DURING 2015`S ABNORMALLY WARM FEBRUARY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /322 AM MST/...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER ACROSS ARIZONA THROUGH TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WARM AND DRY AIR MASS
PRODUCING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES.
THOSE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL FLIRT WITH RECORD LEVELS INTO
SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

STARTING NEXT WEDNESDAY...MODELS SHOW THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
BREAKING DOWN WITH A TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN
IMPACT WOULD BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST
WINDS ON WEDNESDAY LEADING TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS HEADING INTO
THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD/MCCOLLUM
AVIATION...KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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