Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 262245
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
345 PM MST TUE APR 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...BREEZY CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WET AND COOL STORM
SYSTEM ON THURSDAY. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES
INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO AND
SOUTHERN WYOMING BROUGHT WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE AND SCATTERED LIGHT
SHOWERS MAINLY OVER NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING.

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE STATE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD BE WETTER THAN MONDAY`S AND JUST ABOUT AS COLD, THOUGH NOT
NEARLY AS WINDY. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALSO
POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS FALL TO AROUND 7000 FEET
WITH SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE THE 7500-8000 FT LEVEL.
CONTINUED COOL AND SHOWERY ON FRIDAY WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE IN UNSTABLE NORTHWEST FLOW.

MODEES ARE SHOWING A THIRD LOW MOVING ACROSS ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND
WITH CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND COOL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS 10-
20 KTS...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 03Z. FOR
WEDNESDAY...AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 KTS...GUSTS TO 30 KTS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DELIVER DRY AND
BREEZY WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY. FOR THURSDAY, THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF
WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA. LOOK FOR COOL AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. WETTING PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS MAY FALL ON THURSDAY ACROSS COCONINO AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES.
AFTERNOON VENTILATION WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT EACH DAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE
TO INVADE NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WETTING
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE AREA WIDE ON SUNDAY AS A STRONGER
IMPULSE MOVES OVER THE STATE.


&&
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MAS
AVIATION...DM
FIRE WEATHER...DM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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