Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 251213
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
510 AM MST SAT JUL 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP MOST MONSOON ACTIVITY TO
OUR SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH MONDAY. EXPECT A GRADUAL RETURN TO MORE
OF A TYPICAL MONSOON PATTERN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRIEFLY DRAW
THE MONSOON BOUNDARY FARTHER WEST AND NORTH INTO ARIZONA TODAY. THIS
WILL STILL MAINLY BE AN EVENT FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...BUT OUR EAST
CENTRAL ZONES WILL SEE SCATTERED ACTIVITY. AS THE TROUGH PROGRESSES
EASTWARD...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE FROM WEST TO EAST AND
THE MONSOON BOUNDARY WILL RETREAT FOR A FEW DAYS. EXPECT QUIET
CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH ANY REMAINING ACTIVITY BEING
LIMITED TO THE WHITE MTNS.

BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THE MID-LEVEL HIGH WILL RE-CENTER AND
STRENGTHEN IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION JUST EAST OF ARIZONA. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR A RETURN TO A TYPICAL MONSOON PATTERN BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE....MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ISOLD-WDLY SCT -SHRA/TSRA FROM
18Z-03Z EAST OF A LINE FROM KPAN-KFLG-KCEZ WITH ISOLD MVFR CONDS IN
STORMS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...LIMITED MOISTURE WILL BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...MAINLY OVER NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. EXPECT LOCALLY
BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS AT TIMES.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EXPECT FAIRLY DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BRUSHES NORTHERN ARIZONA.
TUESDAY ONWARD...A SLOW INCREASE IN MONSOON MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
WITH A BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY FROM
THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTH. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL REMAIN WITHIN SEASONABLY NORMAL RANGES.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MAS


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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