Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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147
FXUS65 KFGZ 121715
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1015 AM MST FRI FEB 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
WARM WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED WARM AND DRY AIR
MASS WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS ARIZONA INTO WEDNESDAY OF
NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, LOOK FOR MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND ABOVE
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY PRODUCE A BIT OF
COOLING ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
HOVER AROUND NEAR RECORD LEVELS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

STARTING NEXT THURSDAY...MODELS SHOW THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
BREAKING DOWN WITH A TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. THE TIMING OF
THE TROUGH HAS SLOWED SOME IN RECENT MODEL RUNS BUT THE SCENARIO REMAINS
THE SAME. THE MAIN IMPACT WOULD BE INCREASING CLOUDS AND
STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THURSDAY LEADING TO A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS
WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...SUK/MCCOLLUM
AVIATION...SUK


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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