Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 181547

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
847 AM MST Tue Oct 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather will persist across northern Arizona this
week. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected today and
particularly Wednesday. A strong warming trend will then develop
starting Thursday, with afternoon temperatures around 10 degrees
above normal for the weekend.


.UPDATE...Another dry and breezy day is in store for northern
Arizona, although wind speeds will be lighter than what was
observed on Monday. Current forecasts are in good shape, no
updates required this morning.


.PREV DISCUSSION /354 AM MST/... Expect dry conditions for the
remainder of the week, along with occasionally breezy winds during
the next few days. Temperatures will remain above normal through
the period, though Wednesday looks to be the coolest of the week
for most locations as northeasterly breezes develop that day.

For the latter half of the week, strengthening high pressure will
lead to daytime temps again climbing to well above normal.

Extended range models indicate increasing moisture and chances for
showers ahead of a Pacific trough early next week. Increasing
winds and cooling temps would also be anticipated with this
potential scenario.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z forecast...Look for VFR conditions over
the next 24 hours. Expect increasing southwest winds after 18Z with
gusts in the 15 to 25 knot range until around 01Z. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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