Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 281700
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A FEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TODAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL DOWN A FEW DEGREES NEXT WEEK...WITH
INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS. LONG RANGE FORECAST MODELS SHOW
CONTINUED DRY SPRING WEATHER AS WE MOVE TOWARDS THE SPRING FIRE
SEASON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL FALL IN SOME
LOCATIONS TODAY AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT DOMINATES OUR WEEKEND
WEATHER. THIS RIDGE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY AND A WESTERLY
FLOW REGIME WILL TAKE HOLD.

MEANWHILE A WEAK LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY PASS THROUGH THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION ON MONDAY BRINGING ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO
PRODUCE A FEW HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
EASTERN ARIZONA ALONG THE NEW MEXICO BORDER. POTENTIAL IMPACTS FOR
MONDAY INCLUDE OCCASIONAL CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLE FIRE
STARTS DUE TO LIGHTNING STRIKES FOR OUR EASTERN FORECAST ZONES.

TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES NEXT WEEK AS WE MOVE INTO A
WINDY SPRING FIRE WEATHER PATTERN AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS PASS BY TO
THE NORTH OF THE STATE. EXPECT DRY HUMIDITY LEVELS AND PERIODS OF
STRONG WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING VFR
CONDITIONS UNDER  MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS. SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS 5-20 KTS UNTIL 02Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN
AVIATION.......MCCOLLUM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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