Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 252123
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
223 PM MST SAT OCT 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
BREEZY CONDITIONS AND A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...BEFORE RISING AGAIN AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONLY A FEW SPRINKLES ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS. EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY AS A BROAD CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. PROGS
INDICATE 700MB TEMPS WILL DROP 2-6 DEGREES WITH THE TROUGH
PASSAGE...ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN OUR MAX TEMPERATURES TO NEAR SEASONAL
NORMALS THROUGH TUESDAY. GFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES ALL INDIDATE A
TRANSIENT...BUT STRONG RIDGE BUILDING ONCE AGAIN OVER THE WESTERN US
BY WEDNESDAY. EXPECT TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS THIS FEATURE MIGRATES TO THE EAST ACROSS
THE AREA. COOLER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND AS
ANOTHER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HRS. SCT-BKN CUMULUS WILL PERSIST INTO
THIS EVENING WITH AN ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWER POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING NEAR 20-25
KTS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 KTS BY 01-02Z SUNDAY. BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BAK
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF






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