Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 232213
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
315 PM MST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT DRY WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH NEXT
SUNDAY. BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND BELOW NORMAL MAX
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND
MUCH LESS WIND RETURN STARTING WEDNESDAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS COLD FRONT IS WELL SOUTH OF OUR AREA WITH CLEAR SKIES
OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON. MORE CIRRUS IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARDS US
THOUGH AS THE JET STREAM APPROACHES. COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE ON TAP
FOR THE VALLEYS OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA WITH VALUES IN THE LOWER TEENS
OVER MUCH OF THE NAVAJO NATION. NORTHEAST DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL
PERSIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE UPPER AIR PATTERN AFFECTING
THE WESTERN U.S HAS A BUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE WEST
COAST. NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL HAVE THE JET STREAM MOVE OVERHEAD
MONDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING A DRY DISTURBANCE THROUGH AT H5. EXPECT
ANOTHER BREEZY TO WINDY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA...WIND SPEEDS AT
THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM...WITH SPEEDS LIKELY FASTER THAN WHAT
DEVELOP TONIGHT.

WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE FOR THIS
PERIOD. THE WEST COAST RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND PROGRESS
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT THROUGH SUNDAY. MAX TEMPS TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WITH LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...NORTH WINDS 10-20 KTS GUSTING TO 30 KTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 01Z. WINDS WILL MOSTLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT BUT
REMAIN BREEZY SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. NORTH WINDS INCREASING
AGAIN MONDAY 16-17Z WITH SIMILAR SPEEDS TO TODAY. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF













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