Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071031
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
331 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE COUNTRY
THIS WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
U.S. AND A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN
STATES. THIS WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF DRY AND WARM WEATHER TO THE
AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL RUN FROM A
FEW TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH MIDWEEK, WARMING TO
NEAR 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE BY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

THE ONLY POSSIBILITY FOR ANY MOISTURE AT THIS POINT IS LATE NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW AT THIS POINT
TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 5-15KTS OVER AND JUST DOWNWIND
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCS
AVIATION...SUK


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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