Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 250403
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 PM MST TUE MAR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT FAIR WEATHER WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND
BRINGING NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA ON
WEDNESDAY AS A PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
STATES. THE RIDGE WILL BRING WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER TO THE REGION
FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES
POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW MAY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST REGION ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH ONLY THE SLIGHTEST CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWER
ACTIVITY. MODEL OPERATIONAL FORECASTS SHOW A HIGHER THAN NORMAL
DEGREE OF VARIABILITY ON THE TRACK OF THIS NEXT SYSTEM. HOWEVER WE
REMAIN CONFIDENT THAT ANY PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS FROM THIS NEXT
SYSTEM WILL HAVE LOW AREAL COVERAGE AND PRODUCE ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS.

LONG RANGE OPERATIONAL WEATHER MODEL PROJECTIONS SHOW CONTINUED DRY
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND BREEZY WINDS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. THE
FORECASTS FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER SUPPORT A BELOW NORMAL
10 TO 14 DAY PRECIPITATION FORECAST. THEREFORE NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN
OR SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AT LEAST THE
FIRST FEW DAYS OF APRIL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
UNDER PERIODS OF HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.....BOHLIN
AVIATION...BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







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