Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 171058

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
358 AM MST Mon Oct 17 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather, above normal temperatures and breezy
conditions will continue across northern Arizona through Tuesday.
A dry cold front is expected to pass through northern Arizona
Tuesday evening causing a slight dip in temperatures on Wednesday
and Thursday. Dry weather and warming temperatures are forecast
late next week and into the weekend.


.DISCUSSION...For today and Tuesday, zonal flow at the base of a
broad trough over the western United States will cause dry
weather and breezy conditions. Winds are expected to be a bit
lighter today than Sunday, with gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range
along and north of the Mogollon Rim. Daytime temperatures will
remain above normal.

From Tuesday night through Wednesday morning, a dry cold front is
forecast to sweep across northern Arizona causing a slight dip in
temperatures and breezy northeast winds. A strong ridge is
forecast to build over the Southwest on Thursday resulting in a
slight warming trend and above normal temperatures heading into
the weekend.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z forecast...VFR conditions through the
forecast period. Sfc winds sw15-20kts with gusts 25-30kts in
typically favored locations from 17z-01z today. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.


this morning FOR AZZ004-039.




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