Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 271037
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
335 AM MST FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MAINLY DRY WEATHER AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY INDICATES A STRONG RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THIS RIDGE FEATURES HGHTS THAT
ARE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REACH TO NEAR
RECORD TERRITORY IN MANY AREAS. THE RIDGE THEN BREAKS DOWN SLIGHTLY
SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
JUST ENOUGH MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO
ISOLATED SHALLOW HIGH-BASED CONVECTION THAT MAY ENABLE A DROP OR TWO
TO REACH THE SURFACE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. VERY DRY WESTERLY FLOW
WILL DEVELOP FOR THE REST OF NEXT WEEK...WITH BREEZY AND WARM
AFTERNOONS AND COOL NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

.FIRE WEATHER...THE TWICE DAILY ISSUANCE OF THE ZONE FIRE WEATHER
FORECAST WILL RESUME ON MONDAY MARCH 30TH. THE AFTERNOON ZONE
FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED NO LATER THAN 3 PM MST.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........PETERSON
AVIATION.......TM/MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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