Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KFGZ 310413
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
913 PM MST SUN AUG 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BEGIN TO PUSH
STORM ACTIVITY EASTWARD ON TUESDAY...EVENTUALLY LIMITING STORMS TO
THE FAR EASTERN BORDER BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PERSISTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONTINUING ACROSS NORTH-
CENTRAL AZ THIS EVENING...THOUGH THE INTENSITY OF THESE STORMS IS
GENERALLY WANING. EXPECT CHANCES TO CONTINUE THRU THE
NIGHT...BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF MORE WIDESPREAD AND STRONGER
STORMS DEVELOPS MONDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /339 PM MST/...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
AFFECTED MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. FLOODING FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL HAS BEEN THE PRIMARY HAZARD. HAIL HAS GENERALLY BEEN ON
THE SMALL SIZE, ALTHOUGH WE RECEIVED A REPORT OF DIME SIZED HAIL
IN YAVAPAI COUNTY EARLIER IN THE DAY. SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW AS GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

BEGINNING TUESDAY...A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW IS FORECAST TO SET UP
OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY LIMIT STORM
COVERAGE TO THE EASTERN BORDER BY WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY. ALONG
WITH THE DRIER AIR WILL COME COOLER TEMPERATURES AS A LONG WAVE
TROUGH DEVELOPS TO OUR NORTH...ALONG WITH GUSTY DAYTIME SOUTHWEST
WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT DECREASING COVERAGE OF
TSRA THIS EVENING WITH ISOLATED MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN ANY
STRONGER STORMS. STORMS TO REDEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE DAYTIME
HOURS MONDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD/RR
AVIATION...KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.