Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 252204

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
304 PM MST Tue Apr 25 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Gusty winds will persist through sunset then diminish.
Fair weather will return for Wednesday. Winds to increase again
for Thursday before colder and wetter system impacts the
northland Friday and Saturday. Fair and warmer weather returns for


For tonight, a slight chance of showers will continue across
northeast Arizona in the wake of today cold front. The wind
advisory for southern Apache county will continue through 7 pm,
with westerly gusts to 50 mph. Otherwise expect fair conditions

For Wednesday and Thursday...Expect fair and warmer weather
Wednesday as a milder air mass moves across the state. A weak
shortwave passing through the 4 corners Wednesday night will bring
a slight chance of light showers to areas east of a line from Page
to Window Rock.

On Thursday, gusty west-northwest winds to return as a strong
cold front approaches our area from the north. Moisture is
increasing Thursday night once again across the 4 corners and
we kept the chance of showers going, any qpf to be light.

On Friday and Saturday...The GFS and European model forecasts
continue to show a strong trough and cold front moving southward
across northern AZ of Friday. The main impacts from this front
will be temperatures from 10 to 20 degrees below normal both days
and gusty winds Friday. There is a potential for showers and even
some snow in the mountains, though amounts should be light. Best
chances for showers and greatest amounts are currently shown to
be in the 4 corners once again. Wind chills Saturday afternoon
could be in the upper 30s for areas above 7000 feet.

Fair and warmer weather returns for Sunday and early next week.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z Package...Expect clearing skies slight
chance of showers Near over Navajo and Apache Counties before 03z.
West winds will eventual decrease around sunset as the nocturnal
boundary layer develops. Expect winds to develop again Wednesday
morning as convect mixing begins around 17z Wednesday. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...West winds will continue to be gusty Wednesday
afternoon. Minimum humidities are not expected to drop below
critical values for a lengthy duration. Dry and breezy conditions
with near normal temperatures are expected Wednesday and Thursday.

Friday through Sunday...Unsettled conditions with breezy west winds
each day. Increasing chance of showers and cooler for Friday and


.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Wind Advisory until 7 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ014-017.




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