Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 270958

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
258 AM MST FRI MAY 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Enough moisture will linger through early next week
for a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms each day.
Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in store starting today and
continuing into next week.


.DISCUSSION...Enough moisture and instability will remain for the
development of high based clouds, showers and a few thunderstorms
to northern Arizona today. Light winds may become erratic and
gusty near high based showers due to the wind generating effects
of evaporative cooling. Otherwise, only a lingering chance of
shower and thunderstorm activity over the mountain areas this
weekend in a warm and light wind weather pattern.

Monday and Tuesday...Another weak low moves across the southwest
United States. Look for a slight uptick in the chance for showers
and storms, primarily over the mountains.

Wednesday and Thursday...Models show high pressure building in
from the West. Expect light winds and a strong drying trend
across Arizona. Daytime temperatures could may well climb to
above normal. Just in time for June.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z Package...Expect VFR conditions
for the next 24 hours with a return of isold to sct high based SHRA
and TSRA mainly from the Mogollon Rim northward 18Z-01Z. Erratic and
gusty winds are possible near SHRA/TSRA. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
across northern Arizona this afternoon and evening. Storms
will be confined to higher elevations along and north Interstate 40
on Saturday. Erratic and gusty winds possible with any showers or

Sunday through Tuesday...Only isolated showers and thunderstorms
are expected with relatively light winds into early next week.
Critical fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.






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