Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 160012

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
500 AM MST Thu Oct 06 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Expect cool conditions with light northeast winds
today and Friday as low pressure remains over much of the western
United States. A warming trend will develop by the weekend, with
chances for rain showers returning on Saturday and lasting into
early next week.


.UPDATE...Cool air and light northeast flow will persist for another
day or two, especially along and northeast of the Mogollon Rim. This
airmass developed in the wake of a s/wv that moved through the Great
Basin yesterday.

Hghts rise over the weekend, with a warming trend and a return to
southerly flow. Along with this warming trend will be an increase in
mid-level moisture, which may lead to isolated/scattered showers and
thunderstorms Saturday through Monday.

After Monday, expect even warmer conditions, with drier westerly
flow ending any chance for precipitation.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z package...VFR conditions under mostly clear
skies will continue through the 24 hour TAF period. Light winds are
expected throughout the TAF period, with a northerly component
developing around mid-day across the northern TAF sites.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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