Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 170339

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
839 PM MST Sun Oct 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather, above normal temperatures and breezy
conditions will continue across northern Arizona tonight and again
on Monday. A dry cold front is expected to pass through northern
Arizona Tuesday evening causing a slight dip in temperatures on
Wednesday and Thursday. Dry weather and warming temperatures are
forecast late next week and into the weekend.


.UPDATE...Wind speeds are generally decreasing across northern
Arizona this evening as the lower levels de-couple from the
stronger winds aloft. However, portions of far northern Arizona
from the Kaibab and Paria Plateaus to Black Mesa continue to see
southwest winds gusting up to 35 mph. This area is expected to
see near advisory level wind speeds through the overnight hours
as shortwave energy passes through Nevada and Utah, and a wind
advisory remain in effect through early Monday morning.


.PREV DISCUSSION /339 PM MST/...Breezy winds are expected to
continue for most areas through Monday. Windy conditions are
forecast over the northern third of the state as a low pressure
system passes to the north. The Kaibab Plateau and Black Mesa on
the Navajo Nation can expect southwest wind gusts overnight to
exceed 40 mph. A wind advisory was issued for these areas through
6am MST.

Tuesday through Thursday...A dry cold front will move into Arizona
from the north from Tuesday night though Wednesday morning. Cooler
northeasterly winds are forecast on Wednesday and Thursday as a
high pressure ridge builds into the west.

Friday through Sunday...Dry weather continues through Sunday with
a slight warming trend. Light drainage winds overnight will become
breezy each afternoon. No precipitation in sight.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z forecast...VFR conditions will prevail.
Breezy southwest winds continue overnight through Monday,
particularly from KFLG north. Gusts near 35 kts north of KGCN.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


Monday FOR AZZ004-039.




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