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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 051126
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
430 AM MST WED MAR 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT MILD AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY...THOUGH
HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL THICKEN FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING THIS
AFTERNOON.  A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...SWITCHING TO NORTHEASTERLY BY SATURDAY.
PRECIP CHANCES END FROM WEST TO EAST ON SATURDAY FOLLOWED BY A
WARMING TREND STARTING SUNDAY.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TODAY. MAX
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. LOOK FOR INCREASING HIGH CLOUD COVER MOVING IN FROM THE WEST
LATE IN THE DAY. CLOUD COVER WILL THICKEN TONIGHT WITH PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED THURSDAY.

PROGS ARE TRENDING DRIER FOR THE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
PERIOD. A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE RIM. BY FRIDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE
IS BUILDING RAPIDLY ALONG THE WEST COAST. NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE GREAT BASIN WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA. WE
KEPT THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS GOING FRIDAY NIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE RIM ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS LOOK LIGHT. FOR SATURDAY...EXPECT
RAPID CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE MORNING WITH BRISK NORTH TO
NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS DEVELOPING. DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......PETERSON

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF