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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 051117
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
410 AM MST THU DEC 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTHERN APACHE COUNTY
TODAY WITH PATCHY FOG ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM.  HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
MONDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE AREA SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
APACHE COUNTY TODAY IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAYS COLD FRONT. THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS SHOULD RECEIVE AND ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF SNOW TODAY.
LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG WERE DETECTED ON SATELLITE ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE RIM THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY.

PROGS IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR
MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY. DAYTIME TEMPS
WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING IN ALL BUT THE LOWEST
ELEVATIONS. SOME LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AZ WILL SEE OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPS BELOW ZERO DEGREES AGAIN TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS
WEEKEND. TODAYS 00Z MODEL RUNS ARE SHOWING LESS QPF THAN EARLIER
RUNS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE FOR GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY...WITH
SNOW DEVELOPING WEST OF A LINE FROM PAGE TO PAYSON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE
NORTHLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE BULK OF SNOWFALL SHOULD BE THEN.
CLEARING IS EXPECTED FROM WEST TO EAST ON SUNDAY. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE FOR 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW FOR AREAS ABOVE 5000 FEET
AND 1-3 INCHES BELOW 5000 FEET.

PROGS ARE PUSHING A FLAT RIDGE INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST FROM MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WEATHER SHOULD BE DRY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
STRONG LOW LEVEL TEMP INVERSION WHICH SUGGESTS WARMER DAYTIME TEMPS
FOR THE HIGH COUNTRY BUT VALLEY AREAS REMAINING COLD.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...AREAS OF SHSN AND IFR-MVFR
CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH WX SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH SE AZ WILL
CONTINUE SE OF A LINE FROM KRQE TO KFLG THRU 18Z THEN SHOWER
ACTIVITY GRADUALLY MOVING EAST. EXPECT PATCHY FOG ROUGHLY OVER SAME
AREA THRU 18Z. AFTER 18Z...EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN AZ. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......TEC

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF