Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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866
FXUS65 KFGZ 021038
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
338 AM MST TUE FEB 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS APACHE COUNTY
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE AND OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO
AREAS NORTH OF I-40 ON THURSDAY. DRY WEATHER IS BACK FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY WITH A WARMING TREND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT WE WILL HAVE A BROAD AND VERY COLD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST IN APACHE COUNTY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE
NEARLY CLOUD FREE BUT VERY COLD. MAXS TEMPS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY TO
BE AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE DATE. DRY WEATHER FOR
ALL ON WEDNESDAY BUT MORNING LOWS WILL BE NEAR ZERO ACROSS THE
HIGH COUNTRY AND SINGLE DIGITS FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM. MODELS DO HAVE A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING NW TO SE THROUGH THE
GREAT BASIN...THOUGH THEY DIFFER ON THE PATH OF THE FEATURE. WE
WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING AND MONITOR. BREEZY
NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS WIND ARE PROBABLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST WITH LOW PRESSURE
OVER NEW MEXICO.

THE WEEKEND AND MONDAY SHOULD BE MUCH WARMER AS A MASSIVE RIDGE
DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN U.S. MAX TEMPS ON A STRONG WARMING TREND
WITH DRY WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...SCT SHSN AND MVFR/IFR CONDS DCRSG
ACRS PORTIONS OF NAVAJO AND APACHE CO.S BEFORE 18Z BECMG ISOLD FROM
18Z-00Z...THEN VFR CONDS AFT 00Z FOR ALL AREAS. AVIATION DISCUSSION
NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...TC

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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