Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 051022
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
322 AM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT HIGH CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND...WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOONAL MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA OVER THE COMING WEEK. EXPECT DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH DAYTIME TEMPS HOVERING AROUND SEASONAL
LEVELS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY LIGHT...EXCEPT ERRATIC
AND QUITE GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP BY AROUND
18Z WITH ASSOCIATED MVFR/IFR VIS/CIG IN LOCATIONS WITH HEAVY
RAIN...ACTIVITY DECREASING AFT 04Z AND CONDITIONS IMPROVING WITH
ISOLD SHRA/TSRA THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
VERY MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR-MASS HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH INCREASED CHANCES OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AMPLE MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
OVER ARIZONA THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. BY WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO COME BACK
DOWN TO MORE NORMAL VALUES...WITH A MORE TYPICAL COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......TC
FIRE WEATHER...TC

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









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