Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 242236
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
340 PM MST THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...MONSOONAL CIRCULATION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&
.DISCUSSION...RATHER ACTIVE DAY NORTH OF A WICKENBURG-WINDOW ROCK
LINE TODAY. STORMS ARE MOVING NORTH TO NORTHEAST. A FEW STORMS HAVE
PRODUCED OVER AN INCH OF RAIN. PRESCOTT REPORTED 1.63 INCHES OF RAIN
FROM A THUNDERSTORM EARLIER IN THE DAY. STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING HOURS MAINLY AROUND....WEST AND NORTH OF FLAGSTAFF.
DRIER AIR HAS MOVED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF OUR CWA TODAY AND
HAS LIMITED STORM ACTIVITY. THIS DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
NORTH AND WEST TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. MOISTURE WILL MOVE BACK OVER THE STATE ON SATURDAY WITH A
FAIRLY STANDARD MONSOONAL CIRCULATION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SOME DRYING IS AGAIN EXPECTED NEXT WEEK AS THE MID-LEVEL HIGH MOVES
OVERHEAD. MOISTURE PROFILES ARE DECENT...BUT INSTABILITY IS A BIT
WEAK. LOW TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE GRADE MONSOONAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A RESULT. WITH PARTIALLY
LIMITED CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL...DAYTIME HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...MOST NUMEROUS WEST OF A
K0V7-KINW-KPAN LINE. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 40 KTS AND BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS. OVERALL STORM COVERAGE
SHOULD DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. AREAS OF SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES MAY
PRODUCE MVFR VSBY IN THE VICINITY OF KSEZ...KFLG...AND KGCN.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







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