Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29

FXUS65 KFGZ 150308

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
808 PM MST Fri Oct 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather, above normal temperatures and periods of
breezy to windy conditions will continue across northern Arizona
through Tuesday. A dry cold front is expected to pass through
northern Arizona around the middle of next week, bringing cooler
temperatures and gusty northeasterly winds.


.DISCUSSION...A dry weather pattern will continue into next week
with several days of breezy southwest winds. A dry cold front
moving in on Wednesday may cool off our temperatures for a few
days. The afternoon forecast looks good no evening updates.



Breezy primarily afternoon winds will continue on Saturday and
Sunday, progressively becoming stronger each day as a broad low
pressure trough remains parked off the Pacific coast with
individual short-wave troughs moving into the northwestern United
States. Forecast 500 mb heights from the NAEFS ensemble mean show
mainly zonal flow across northern Arizona on Monday and Tuesday
with breezy west winds and dry conditions likely continuing. A
ridge develops to our west on Wednesday, with a trough over the
southern Rockies/central Plains possibly sending a dry cold front
through northern Arizona along with gusty northeasterly winds
sometime around the middle of next week. Decreasing winds and
slowly warming temperatures should round out the remainder of the
week as the aforementioned ridge pushes east.


.AVIATION...Expect VFR conditions with breezy winds over the next
24 hours. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






For Northern Arizona weather information visit is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.