Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 281051
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
351 AM MST SUN JUN 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...INCREASING MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO BETTER CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK. EXPECT A SLIGHT COOLING TREND IN DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHOULD BE A GENERALLY CLEAR START TO THE DAY ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN ARIZONA AS CLOUDS AND STORMS SHIFTED TO THE SOUTHERN
DESERTS OVERNIGHT. STILL...STORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TODAY THROUGH THE WORK WEEK WITH A CHANCE FOR STORMS ACROSS ALL
OF NORTHERN ARIZONA EACH DAY. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING..AND WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
AND SE OF A KPRC-KFLG-KRQE LINE WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE. STORMS WILL INITIALLY FORM OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN ALONG
THE MOGOLLON RIM...MOVING TO THE W/SW LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING. STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCAL WINDS OF 45 KTS TO
POSSIBLY 50 KTS...ESPECIALLY OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS. LOCAL MVFR IN
MOD/HVY RAIN ALSO POSSIBLE.

AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY AND MONDAY
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. COVERAGE WILL BE MORE ISOLATED NORTH OF
I-40 TODAY. STRONG AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS AND LIGHTNING
WILL REMAIN CONCERNS NEAR ANY STORM ACTIVITY. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
CONTINUE A GRADUAL INCREASE.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A MORE TYPICAL MONSOON PATTERN IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA EACH AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS AND
SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPERATURES COMPARED TO THOSE OBSERVED LAST WEEK.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD
AVIATION...MCS
FIRE WEATHER...MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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