Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 171706

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1005 AM MST Mon Oct 17 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather weather will persist across northern Arizona
through at least Sunday. Expect gusty southwest winds today. A dry
cold front will pass through northern Arizona Tuesday evening
causing a slight dip in temperatures Wednesday. A strong warming
trend should develop starting Thursday, with afternoon temperatures
around 10 degrees above normal for the weekend.


Short term forecast is in good shape with no updates planned. High
temps for this weekend look to be in the 8 to 12 degree above normal
for the dates range.


.Prev Discussion 358 am MST...For today and Tuesday, zonal flow at
the base of a broad trough over the western United States will cause
dry weather and breezy conditions. Winds are expected to be a bit
lighter today than Sunday, with gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range
along and north of the Mogollon Rim. Daytime temperatures will
remain above normal.

From Tuesday night through Wednesday morning, a dry cold front is
forecast to sweep across northern Arizona causing a slight dip in
temperatures and breezy northeast winds. A strong ridge is
forecast to build over the Southwest on Thursday resulting in a
slight warming trend and above normal temperatures heading into
the weekend.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z forecast...Look for VFR conditions over
then next 24 hours. Gusty southwest winds 15-25 kts until 02z...then
diminishing. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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