Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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516
FXUS65 KFGZ 051549
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
845 AM MST FRI FEB 05 2016

.SYNOPSIS...NORTHEAST FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR
TODAY. UNUSUALLY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THIS WEEKEND THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND CLEAR SKIES AS A RESULT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MINOR UPDATES TO TODAYS WIND FORECAST AND SKY COVER HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&
.PREV DISCUSSION 525 AM... COOL TEMPERATURES AND NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY...IN THE WAKE OF THURSDAYS WEAK S/WV THAT PASSED TO
OUR NORTH.

A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEEKEND AND WILL PERSIST
INTO NEXT WEEK. THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THIS RIDGE WILL BE COMPLICATED
BY PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THE RIDGE MOVES
EAST BY THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK...WHICH SHOULD BRING PRONOUNCED
WARMING THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND END OF THE WEEK. THERE IS NO CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION IN THIS SEVEN DAY PERIOD. IN FACT...LONGER RANGE
MODELS OUT THROUGH 15 DAYS SHOW VIRTUALLY NO CHANGE IN THIS PATTERN.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. NORTHEAST SFC WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS GUSTS TO 30 KT ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH 03Z SAT THEN DECREASING.
LIGHT NORTHEAST SFC WINDS ELSEWHERE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL PETERSON
AVIATION...RR

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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