Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 272131

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
231 PM MST Sat May 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Expect cool and calm conditons across the area
tonight. High pressure will continue to build in over Arizona for
Memorial Weekend with warmer temperatures, light winds and a
slight chance for showers over the mountains of eastern AZ.


Southwest flow this afternoon will give way to lighter winds
becoming variable at 5 to 15 mph for the evening across the area.
There is concern for some pooling of smoke near the Snake Ridge
fire as ventilation becomes poor tonight. A weak front will push
across northern Arizona overnight...and shift the winds to the
east on Sunday. We`ll be watching the impacts of these winds on
the Snake Ridge it may push smoke into the Verde Valley
on Sunday night.

On Memorial Day, high pressure aloft and light winds will bring a
beautiful day for outdoor activities with warm temperatures at or
a couple of degrees above normal. Some afternoon showers are
possible over the higher elevation areas to the southeast with
most of the area remaining dry.

Otherwise...An increase in moisture will bring a slight chance of
afternoon showers and thunderstorms through next week. The best
moisture will set up over the Arizona/New Mexico border. As such,
have kept higher chances of precipitation in eastern part of the


.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...A few sprinkles may linger near
the UT border this evening...otherwise expect VFR conditions under
clearing skies overnight. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF


.FIRE WEATHER...A weak trough of low pressure will brush northern
Arizona with an isolated shower near the UT border this evening,
and a shift of winds to the east and northeast on Sunday. A few
mountain showers are possible over eastern AZ on Monday.
Otherwise...expect mostly fair and warm conditions, light winds,
and poor ventilation overnight.

Tuesday through Thursday...Expect a cooling trend and a slight
chance for showers and thunderstorms each day.






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