Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 150412
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
910 PM MST MON APR 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT A COLD NIGHT TONIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
DROPPING SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RETURN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE SHORT TERM
WITH A COLD NIGHT EXPECTED TONIGHT AND DRY...BUT SEASONABLY WARM
CONDITIONS TOMORROW. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW DAYS WITH
SOME HIGH-BASED CONVECTION POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK. UPDATES ARE
NOT NEEDED THIS EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND GRADUALLY INCREASE FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL REACH UP TO NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AROUND THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. DRY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...EXPECT LIGHT TO BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS
AS ANOTHER WEAK AND RELATIVELY DRY STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WHILE TEMPERATURES
DECREASE. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS ARE NOT LIKELY.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........PETERSON
AVIATION.......PETERSON
FIRE WEATHER...DJO

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF






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