Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071621
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
921 AM MST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARMER
WEATHER FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...SUNNY AND MILD WEATHER ON TAP FOR TODAY, THOUGH SOME
NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL DEVELOP ALONG/SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. NO
FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /331 AM MST/...AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE COUNTRY THIS WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. AND A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN STATES. THIS WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF DRY
AND WARM WEATHER TO THE AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN FROM A FEW TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH MIDWEEK, WARMING TO NEAR 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE BY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

THE ONLY POSSIBILITY FOR ANY MOISTURE AT THIS POINT IS LATE NEXT
WEEKEND WHEN FORECAST MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST. PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW AT THIS POINT
TO INCLUDE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR 24 HOUR PERIOD. SFC WINDS LIGHT AND
VARIABLE MOST PLACES...NORTHEASTERLY 10-15KTS OVER AND JUST
DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/MCS
AVIATION...JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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