Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 130309
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
809 PM MST Thu Oct 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry southwesterly flow will persist through the week
with above normal temperatures. Expect breezy afternoon winds to
continue through Saturday with weakening winds late in the weekend
and into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Clear skies and diminishing winds will lead to a
cool night, with lows generally a few degrees cooler than last
night`s readings. Warm and breezy conditions continue Friday, then
a weak backdoor cold front will cause a wind shift to north-
northeast for the weekend, with cooler temperatures north of the
Mogollon Rim but little change along/south of the rim.

By early next week, high pressure will develop with weakening
daytime winds and continued dry conditions.

Models are currently indicating the potential for a weak low
pressure center moving across AZ mid-week. This could lead to some
unsettled conditions, and if this solution becomes more
consistent, we would need to increase precip chances next
Wednesday/Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Expect VFR conditions for the 24
hour forecast period. Decreasing wind overnight with speeds in most
areas less than 10 knots. Expect increasing winds again after 18Z
Friday, with southwest winds from 10-18 knots and gusts from 18-28
knots at most places through 01-02Z. Aviation discussion not updated
for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Expect breezy southwest winds on Friday, with
lighter, more northerly winds on Saturday. Daytime temperatures will
be near to above normal.

Sunday through Tuesday...Expect dry weather, above normal
temperatures and light afternoon breezes each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/KD
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...RR

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff



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