National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS65 KFGZ 082139
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
245 PM MST SUN DEC 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA
TONIGHT AND MAY BRING A FEW ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS. OTHERWISE...A
VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WELL BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT SNOW HAS ENDED
ACROSS NRN AZ THIS AFTERNOON. ALL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
CANCELLED/EXPIRED.

AS EXPECTED...THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVED ACROSS THE NRN PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT THEN STALLED ACROSS CENTRAL ARIZONA EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WEAKENED.

MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT THIS WAVE MAY BE ABLE
TO BRIEFLY ACTIVE THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE FRONT SO THAT ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MTNS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WHILE LITTLE OR NO ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FARTHER TO THE
WEST.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC WILL
PRODUCE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES. THIS PATTERN
WILL PRODUCE BREEZY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS AND A CONTINUATION OF
COLD TEMPS FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA.

FOR THURSDAY AND THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK...THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH
OVER THE WESTERN STATES SHIFTS EASTWARD WITH A MODERATING WESTERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING. AS A RESULT...EXPECT A RETURN TO NEAR AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA.

&&

.AVIATION....FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR MOST
AREAS WITH SCT MVFR CIGS/-SHSN OVER HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF A
KPAN-KINW-KRQE LINE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DB
AVIATION.......MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF