Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 180326
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
826 PM MST Sun Sep 17 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather and seasonable temperatures will continue
through Wednesday. Windy and cooler conditions are expected
Thursday into next weekend, with a slight chance of showers at
times.

&&

.UPDATE...
Tonights forecast of clear skies is on track with no updates
planned. The main story for the work week is increasing southwest
wind speeds, with gusts from 25-35 mph currently forecast for
Wednesday afternoon and 30 to 50 mph Thursday afternoon. Fastest
speeds should be along and north of the Mogollon rim. Temps to
start a strong cooling trend on Thursday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /329 PM MST/... Under west-southwest flow aloft,
seasonable temps with dry conditions are expected for the next few
days. A deep and broad trough will then develop across the western
U.S. by the mid-to-latter stages of next week. This is expected
to result in strong winds (especially Thursday) and notably
cooler temperatures. A better chance for showers may also result
with the trough passage, with the best chances currently looking
to be from late Thursday into Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Expect VFR conditions for the
next 24 hours. Light sfc winds through 16z Monday then S-SW 15 to
25 kt. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Northern Arizona will remain under the influence of
a broad trough through Monday with near normal temperatures. Enough
instability will exist across Apache county on Sunday for a slight
chance of storms across the high terrain.

Tuesday through Thursday...Northern Arizona will remain under the influence
of a broad trough through Monday with near normal temperatures.
Enough instability will exist across Apache county on Sunday for a
slight chance of storms across the high terrain.

Tuesday through Thursday...Dry, southwest flow aloft to persist
across Arizona through this period. Expect increasing southwest
wind speeds through period as a series of weather disturbances
move through the Great Basin. Thursday looks to have the strongest
winds, with gusts from 35 to 45 mph along and north of the
Mogollon Rim.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL/KD
AVIATION...DL
FIRE WEATHER...Suk


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff



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