Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 040323
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
823 PM MST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH COLD TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM THE GRAND CANYON VILLAGE TO
FORT DEFIANCE ON THURSDAY. DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST AREA WIDE
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A WARMING TREND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES DOMINATE THE MID EVENING SATELLITE
IMAGERY. NET RESULT, COLD OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN.
EXPECTING SOME INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS LATER TONIGHT BUT
THAT IS ABOUT IT. ALL IS WELL WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE.

A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVERSE THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
ON THURSDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS ARE KEEPING THE BEST
MOISTURE/DYNAMICS CONFINED TO THE ARIZONA/UTAH BORDER NORTHWARD.
FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF ARIZONA THURSDAY. THE REST OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA SHOULD ONLY SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.

BY FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED SATES LEADING TO DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS. THE WEST COAST
HIGH IS THEN EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO DRY CONDITIONS AND A
CONTINUED WARMING TREND. LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL BY NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER SOME MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. AFTER
12Z...A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE ARIZONA/UTAH
BORDER. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCCOLLUM/TM
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM/TM


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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