Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 290420

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
920 PM MST SAT MAY 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Just enough moisture will linger through next week for
a very slight chance of showers or thunderstorms each day.
Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in store starting today and
continuing into next week.


.DISCUSSION...Radar indicates that isolated showers - primarily
virga - remain across portions of northern Coconino and Apache
Counties this evening. These showers are expected to diminish over
the next couple of hours. This is reflected in the current
forecast and no updates are anticipated at this time.


.PREV DISCUSSION /335 PM MST/...Weak troughing will affect the
region through early next week. Hghts in this pattern are around
normal and temperatures will begin to rise each day as a result.
Enough mid-level moisture exists in this trough for spotty high-
based convection for the next several days. A few light showers or
thunderstorms cannot be ruled out through Tuesday or Wednesday.
The remainder of next week will feature a high amplitude ridge,
bringing the warmest temperatures so far this year.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z Package...Expect VFR conditions for the
next 24 hours. Only isolated -TSRA are expected from 18Z-03Z
over the higher terrain around and north of a KFLG-KRQE line.


.FIRE WEATHER...There is a slight chance of light showers and
thunderstorms Sunday and again Monday, generally over the higher
terrain north of Interstate 40. Erratic and gusty winds possible
near storms.

Tuesday through Thursday...Only isolated showers and thunderstorms
are expected over the higher terrain, with relatively light winds.
Expect minimum RH below 15 percent most areas.






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