Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 241117

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
417 AM MST Fri Mar 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and warmer conditions will return to northern
Arizona today. The next low pressure system will cross the
state Saturday bringing slightly cooler temperatures and a chance
of rain showers mainly from Flagstaff northward. Fair weather is
expected Sunday, then another low pressure system will arrive
Monday into Tuesday.


.DISCUSSION...The storm system that brought rain and snow to the
region Thursday has moved well east of the state into the plains.
Some breezy west to northwest winds developed as the system
departed and this has kept temperatures from dropping too much
overnight, with most mountain locations at or just above freezing.
This has also prevented any fog from developing so far, but there
is still a chance patchy fog could develop over portions of
Yavapai & Gila counties over the next few hours as winds are
lighter there. Otherwise, much warmer conditions return this
afternoon with sunny skies.

The next fast-moving trough will cross northern Arizona Saturday
and Saturday evening. High temperatures will drop back down
several degrees with a chance of showers developing mainly from
Flagstaff northward. Snow levels generally remaining above 7500 to
8000 feet with little or no accumulation expected. Fair weather
returns Sunday with daytime temperatures a few degrees above

A progressive pattern continues next week with a couple of storm
systems forecast to affect the region, one Monday into Tuesday and
another Thursday or Friday. These systems are taking a northwest
to southeast track which is usually not the wettest for us, but
will definitely need to be watched since snow levels in the
current model runs drop to at least 6500 feet or so. More details
will be available in the next few days on these systems so stay


.AVIATION...For the 12Z Package...Expect VFR conditons through the
24 hour period, with NW sfc winds 5-15kts. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.






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