Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191045
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
345 AM MST WED NOV 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...THIS WILL BRING WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. A
COUPLE OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA. THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND THE 6500 FOOT LEVEL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

A WEAKENING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER AIR WILL DROP THE SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000
FEET...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 6500 FEET. ON
SATURDAY...A SHORT LIVED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WILL SEND A COLD
FRONT INTO ARIZONA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO MAINLY FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY. LOOK FOR BREEZY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 4-6 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO RETURN...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES BY WEDNESDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES ARE FORECAST MAINLY
FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD
&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
UNDER INCREASING MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
BUT WILL ARE FORECAST TO SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND
DIRECTION AT THE TAF SITES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF










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