Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 280358
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
858 PM MST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
FAIR WEATHER WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ARRIVES LATE THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. IMPROVING
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY MID-DAY SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
LOCAL AND PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED
SIGNIFICANT RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HRS. OTHERWISE...FAIR WEATHER WILL
PERSIST TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /516 PM MST/...
THE UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT MOISTURE AND SHOWERS TO NORTHERN
ARIZONA IS CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE STATE. LINGERING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE COULD BRING PATCHY FOG FROM THE GRAND CANYON TO
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM FOR TONIGHT.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARMER WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH
CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT
TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED SLOWLY
DEEPEN AND HEAD EASTWARD TOWARD ARIZONA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO TAP INTO DEEP
MOISTURE RESIDING OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF
THE BAJA COAST. THIS WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO
MOST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. CURRENT MODELS SHOW THAT BETWEEN ONE AND
TWO INCHES OF LIQUID COULD FALL BETWEEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOW LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO BE LOWER WITH THIS
SYSTEM. CURRENT FORECASTS KEEP THE SNOW LEVEL AT OR ABOVE THE
7500-8000 FOOT LEVEL THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THEN FALLING TO
6500-7000 FEET FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES AS THERE COULD BE SOME WET SNOW DOWN TO POPULATION CENTERS
IN THE HIGH COUNTRY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER ARIZONA FROM THE NORTHWEST
ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW DROPS SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...LOCALIZED PATCHES OF FOG POSSIBLE FROM
KGCN-KFLG-KSOW SOUTHWARD 06Z-15Z WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THRU THE TAF PERIOD. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD/MAS
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







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