Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 182124

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
224 PM MST Tue Oct 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather will persist across northern Arizona
through Sunday. Expect slightly cooler temperatures and breezy
north to northeast winds tomorrow. A strong warming trend will
develop starting Thursday, with afternoon temperatures around 10
degrees above normal this weekend. A chance of showers is forecast
for Monday and Tuesday.


Expect dry conditions through Sunday, along with breezy winds
during the next few days. A shallow cold front moving through the
the northeast quarter of the state late tonight will bring breezy
north to northeast winds through tomorrow and slightly cooler max

Starting Thursday, strengthening high pressure aloft will lead to
warming daytime temps, with values around 10 degrees above normal
this weekend.

Extended range models indicate increasing moisture and chances for
showers ahead of a Pacific trough for Monday and Tuesday. Expect
increasing winds and cooling temps as well.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z forecast...Look for VFR conditions over the
next 24 hours. Gusty southwest winds will diminish after 01Z.
Starting at 07z northerly winds will develop behind a weak cold
front. After 12z...Locally winds from 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts
are anticipated...especially along and south of the Mogollon Rim.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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