Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 280813
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
313 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...
PESKY UPPER LOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA WILL FINALLY LEAVE THE
LONE STAR STATE TODAY LEADING TO ANOTHER SUPERB FALL DAY. HEIGHTS
WILL GET A TEMPORARY RISE TODAY WITH SHORT WAVE RIDGING OVERHEAD.
THIS WILL BE IN ADVANCE OF A DEEP UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM NEAR THE
LONELIEST ROAD IN AMERICA. LOW STRATUS AND FOG MAY RETURN TO THE
AREA ON MONDAY MORNING ON THE CAPROCK BUT MODELS ARE NOT SOLD ON THE
IDEA.

&&

.LONG TERM...
TRENDS SUPPORT SLIGHTLY SLOWER EJECTION OF LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE
ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND HAVE
BACKED OFF GRADUALLY ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND COVERAGE OUR
AREA AS WELL. MOISTURE TAP STILL APPEARS THOUGH SLIGHTLY THINNER
THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. WE HAVE DIMINISHED MENTION OF THUNDER SLIGHTLY
LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. BY LATE TUESDAY A MOISTURE PLUME
STILL SHOULD BE DRAPED MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN ZONES WITHIN WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH AND PACIFIC FRONT SUPPORTING PREVIOUS THUNDER
CHANCES FAVORING EASTERN AREAS. BEYOND...SEEING STRONGER DRYING IN
DEEP WESTERLY COMPONENT AND DIFFICULT TO JUSTIFY THUNDER CHANCES
EVEN EASTERN AREAS BEYOND EARLY WEDNESDAY. TRIMMED THUNDER MENTION
A BIT MORE MID WEEK. FEW CHANGES OTHERWISE WITH DECENT AGREEMENT
AMONG VARIOUS SOLUTIONS OF A RELATIVELY WARM AIRMASS IN CONTROL
EARLY...REPLACED BY COOLING LATER. RMCQUEEN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        77  56  78  59  81 /   0  10  20  30  10
TULIA         79  57  79  61  83 /   0  10  10  20  10
PLAINVIEW     78  58  79  61  83 /   0  10  10  20  10
LEVELLAND     77  58  79  61  84 /   0  10  10  20  10
LUBBOCK       78  60  80  62  84 /   0  10  10  20  10
DENVER CITY   76  58  81  62  85 /   0  10  10  20  10
BROWNFIELD    76  59  81  62  86 /   0  10  10  20  10
CHILDRESS     84  62  86  66  88 /   0  10  10  20  20
SPUR          81  62  84  64  86 /   0  10  10  20  20
ASPERMONT     83  63  87  67  89 /   0  10  10  10  20

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

01/05





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