Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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642
FXUS64 KMAF 170506
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1206 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF issuance.

No aviation concerns the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will persist
at all terminals.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 PM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Not many changes to the current forecast, as persistence rules.  WV
imagery shows the inverted upper trough remains over Chihuahua,
nosing into the upper ridge to the north and stretched across the SW
CONUS.  This will remain the focus of convection for the next few
days.  However, West Texas and Southeast New Mexico remain between
two low-lvl theta-e ridges, one of which extends thru central Texas
and will be a focus for convection from the east for the next couple
of days.  Area radars show convection on a boundary moving down from
the northeast, but hi-res models don`t have a good handle on this
yet.  In short, best chances in the east will be over the next
couple of days until the theta-e ridge weakens.  Another inverted
trough is forecast to move up the Rio Grande Valley later in the
week, shifting the upper ridge east toward the MS Valley and leaving
the CWA on the SW periphery of the ridge.  This will maintain
easterly upslope flow over the area, favoring convection each day
over the higher terrain/wrn mtns.  Temps, out from the influence of
the ridge, will persist near normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  94  72  94 /  20  10  10   0
Carlsbad                       69  95  71  95 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         72  95  74  92 /  10  20  10  20
Fort Stockton                  69  94  71  92 /  20  10  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 65  84  67  84 /  30  20  20  20
Hobbs                          68  93  68  92 /  20  10  10   0
Marfa                          61  85  62  84 /  40  40  20  50
Midland Intl Airport           72  94  72  94 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         72  94  72  94 /  20  10  10   0
Wink                           70  96  72  95 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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