Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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097
FXUS64 KMAF 301122
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
522 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours, with light
northwesterly winds expected to shift to the south/southwest by
late morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 326 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper trough swinging across the plains this morning pushing a
cold front south. As the trough moves east will have a brief
flat ridge over the region. Later today an upper trough will move
onto the NW coast moving across the Intermountain West on
Thursday. On Friday this trough digs southward to Mexico before
cutting off on Saturday. By Monday the low opens up and swings
east.

Have a weak cold front moving through the area this morning as the
wind shifts around to the N but models quickly bring it back to
the S by midday. Have an area of mid clouds over the region but do
have a clearing line moving across from west to east. Will have
very chilly temps this morning across the NW as colder air works
down into the region. A Freeze Warning is in effect this morning
for the Upper Trans Pecos westward to Culberson.

Temperatures will be cooler today in the 50s warming to near
normal in the 60s on Thursday and Friday. Lows mainly in the
30s. Another cold front sags down into the area Friday then pushes
through early Saturday. Highs only in the 40s Saturday.

Precip chances enter the forecast beginning Friday due to the cut
off low and continue through Sunday night. For now keeping all
precip as liquid but will have to monitor developments if a
mention of snow will be needed.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     56  33  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       57  28  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         63  38  67  44 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  59  36  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 50  31  56  38 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          53  27  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          54  24  64  28 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           57  32  64  37 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         58  32  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           58  29  66  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST /7 AM MST/ this morning for
     Guadalupe Mountains-Loving-Reeves County and Upper Trans
     Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

&&

$$



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