Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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805
FXUS64 KMAF 192339
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
639 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR with decreasing cloud cover through the evening. Brisk SE wind
should slowly decrease overnight too before picking back up
tomorrow.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 214 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...
The subtropical ridge is centered INVOF OK/AR line with ely flow
across TX. As such the moist axis/theta-e ridge is well w across
AZ/W NM. This will mostly be the pattern thru the work week,
although the subtropical ridge will transition wwd starting Thur.
The end result will be the same, above normal temps and mostly dry
conditions (a few showers across the w today). In fact by
Thur/Fri when 7h temps start their increasing trend the SB LI`s
increase to +2 to +4. The forecast is largely one of persistence
with a slight uptrend in temps Thur/Fri in a near homogeneous
atmosphere. By next weekend the theta-e ridge axis will have a
chance to edge ewd possibly bringing some precip back to the wrn
1/3 or so of the CWFA.

CLIMATE...
How hot has it been this month? When we considered the average
monthly temperature (average of daily high/daily lows) Midland
Intl is on track to be the hottest on record. As of yesterday
morning the average daily temperature was 89.5, about 7.6 above
normal. So far the average high temp for July is 103.1 and in
2011 the average high for July was 99.8 and July of 1998 was
100.2. The record of data goes back to 1930.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     77  98  76  99 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       72  97  71  99 /   0  10  10   0
Dryden                         79  97  76 101 /   0  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  73  95  72  97 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 68  91  68  91 /  10  10  10   0
Hobbs                          70  95  69  97 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                          63  90  61  91 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           75  98  74  99 /   0  10   0   0
Odessa                         75  97  74  98 /   0  10   0   0
Wink                           76  99  75 100 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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