Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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251
FXUS64 KMAF 201912
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front pushing into the areas today extends from near Pecos
newd to around Snyder, meanwhile a developing area of surface low
pressure Fri AM signals its temporary retreat to the n though. A
few -SHRA/-TSRA are possible tonight across the far ne CWFA near
the front. Fri will be the last of what has been a series of days
with above normal high temps. As the mid level trof moves across
the Southern Plains the cold front will surge swd passing thru all
of the PB by 06Z/Sat. Post-frontal winds of 20-25 mph are expected
per tight MSLP gradient. Isentropic lift will be confined in the
295-300K layer (~1500 ft) and will promote the development of low
clouds and in the absence of a notable shrtwv trof precip is not
expected, although -DZ/FG is possible thru mid Sat AM? NAM12 is
the coolest and keeps clouds in thru mid day Sat. For now we will
forecast highs 60-70, except warmer in the lower elevations of
the Trans Pecos, but temps could need to be dropped 5 degrees if
clouds hold in. As clouds and winds decrease Sunday morning the
stage will be set for a rather cool morning, lows 40-45, except a
few U30s in Lea Co and on Marfa Plateau. Return flow, mid level
ridging, sunshine will favor high temps rebounding back into the
70s Sunday PM. Thereafter much warmer Mon-Wed with thermal ridge
amplification and moving e, but likely dry thru Fri. On Fri and
upper low will start to approach from 4 Corners area result in
cooler wx next weekend?

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  92  47  67 /  10   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       53  88  49  69 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         67  97  62  74 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  64  95  50  70 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 59  82  46  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          54  85  43  66 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          47  87  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           64  93  48  67 /  10   0  10   0
Odessa                         64  92  48  67 /  10   0  10   0
Wink                           58  92  50  70 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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