Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 271726
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1219 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

See 18z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Winds will be elevated and gusty out of the west to southwest this
afternoon before weakening by sunset.  A cold front with gusty north
to northeast winds will push through the area beginning around 09z
Tuesday with winds decreasing toward 18z.  Scattered to broken high
clouds will remain over the area through the afternoon.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
Modest surface pressure falls will occur today underneath
strengthening mid level flow. Even though today`s MSLP gradient
is not very tight a well mixed PBL will result in increased winds,
25-35 mph in parts of GDP Mtns and w winds of 10-20 mph across SE
NM/PB. These downslope winds will push high temps to near
record/record levels. 85H temps as warm as 24C will result in N90
with an additional 1-2 degrees due the downslope. Models are in
good agreement with FROPA btwn 06Z-09Z Tue AM across PB, n of
I-20. Post-frontal winds may briefly near 20 mph sustained with
passing isallobaric anticyclone of 6-7mb/3hrs. It will be much
cooler (about 20 degrees) Tue PM, U60s-M70s most places and U40s-
L50s Wed AM, mainly n of I-20 where there will be less cloud
cover. -TSRA will be possible Wed AM per NAM12/GFS with return se
low level flow and weak shrtwv trof. Cool temps will persist into
Wed PM/Thur AM. As the mid level ridge amplifies Thur a weak front
will move swd thru the plains keeping temperatures in check. Said
mid level ridge will move overhead Fri with only a modest warm-up
Sat. Precip will be possible by Mon depending on timing of mid
level trof, attm prefer not to shotgun 20 PoPs.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

99

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