Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 191924
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
224 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Current observations and satellite are showing the remnants of
yesterday`s cold front, now stationary from the southern Permian
Basin into the Big Bend. Heating along and south of the front is
causing convection to develop which will continue into this
evening. A few storms could become severe with large hail and
strong winds the primary threats though like yesterday, should a
storm move along the frontal boundary we could see a brief, weak
tornado form.

Today has been a pleasant break from the heat, but upper level
high pressure near the Four Corners Region will spread east into
eastern New Mexico and West Texas causing highs to warm well above
100 degrees by the end of the week. Models are still showing a
cold front arriving next weekend, but there is considerable
disagreement in the timing with anywhere from Friday night to
Sunday afternoon. The ECMWF has been performing well recently,
and it is one of the later models so will hold off on bringing in
the cooler weather until Sunday. There is some hope for an earlier
arrival as models are showing more precip associated with this
front than the one that arrived yesterday. Rain cooled air could
give surface high pressure behind the front an added push so
there may be a chance that Saturday could be significantly cooler
as well.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     71  95  71  99 /  10  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       70  99  71 102 /  10   0   0  10
Dryden                         74  98  74 100 /  30   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  71  97  72 100 /  40   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 68  91  70  95 /  30   0   0  10
Hobbs                          67  96  69  98 /  10   0   0  10
Marfa                          62  92  62  95 /  40  10   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           72  97  73  99 /  10   0   0   0
Odessa                         71  97  73  99 /  10   0   0   0
Wink                           71  99  72 103 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

29/10



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