Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 311117

617 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2014

See 12Z aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions and light south winds through the TAF period.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2014/

The subtropical ridge remains over the southern portion of the
country this morning extending from the Pacific to the Atlantic. An
upper trough extending down across the Northern Rockies will slowly
swing east across the plains with the upper ridge actually
strengthening from CA to GA early in the week.  Another upper trough
moving onto the West Coast by midweek will begin to displace the
center of the ridge to the east but not be able to dislodge it.

Expect to see hot days and warm nights through Tuesday.  The 850mb
thermal ridge will be centered over the western CWA with temps of
28-31C/82-88F producing surface temps near or over the Century Mark
for most of the region.  Monday looks to be the hottest day of the
week with temps slowly beginning to decrease by midweek returning to
near normal by the weekend.

The wind will remain southerly most of the week but models do try to
briefly bring a weak front/wind shift into the northern CWA... not
expecting much if any cooling with it.  Southerly flow will help
keep the lower levels moist with dewpts in the 50s and 60s.  Did
have a few storms skirt the eastern CWA yesterday but expecting even
less coverage today.  Overall rain chances on the decrease... may be
a few storms over the mtns as good moisture... daytime heating and
orographic lift combine.  Most of the region will see no rain.






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