Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 170413
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1013 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

DISCUSSION...

See 06Z Aviation Discussion below.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail until a cold front arrives late
tonight/early Tuesday morning, bringing a bout of stratus/fog.
Fropa is hard to pinpoint, as winds will remain fairly light, but
buffer soundings bring stratus into KHOB as soon as 08Z, and
other terminals shortly thereafter. Soundings suggest cigs dropping
to LIFR for a few hours w/initial fropa, then improving
throughout the day to MVFR by late afternoon. Cigs/visibilities
then crater to IFR/LIFR after 00Z. This could happen sooner if the
upper trough speeds up.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 202 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The upper low that brought the rain to the area has moved off.
Now a secondary trough digging across the 4 corners region will
develop a cut off low along the US/Mex border tomorrow that will
wander northward.  By Thursday this low will also lift NE as the
next upper trough moving over the Intermountain West kicks it out.
A third upper trough follows that one as the pattern remains active.

Its sunny and warmer today with temperatures climbing into the 60s
but a front will move through tonight and knock temps back down into
the 40s tomorrow.  However normal temps return Wednesday and warm
through the end of the week. Looking at a Pacific front blowing
through Saturday... probably be windy.

Will have a low chance of rainshowers returning to the area Tuesday
behind the front and again Saturday.  Many locations received a good
rainfall yesterday... MAF set a daily record with 0.81 inches... Big
Spring had 0.91... McCamey 1.10... Lomax 1.15... and Welch 1.17.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     34  48  36  59 /   0  30  30  10
Carlsbad                       34  46  33  60 /  10  30  20  10
Dryden                         46  53  41  63 /   0  40  30  10
Fort Stockton                  38  48  36  60 /   0  30  30  10
Guadalupe Pass                 34  40  33  51 /   0  30  20  10
Hobbs                          31  45  33  56 /   0  30  20  10
Marfa                          31  46  28  57 /   0  30  20  10
Midland Intl Airport           35  48  36  58 /   0  30  30  10
Odessa                         36  47  36  58 /   0  30  30  10
Wink                           35  49  34  58 /   0  30  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/80/44



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