Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 291652
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1152 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours. A brief period
of TEMPO MVFR visibilities in fog is expected at KHOB and KCNM
toward 12z Tuesday.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...

Temperatures warming up to late summer levels this week before a
cold front arrives Thursday.

A shortwave rounding the base of the upper trough to our west will
help to kick it into the Plains this afternoon. This combined
with a sfc trough stretching down the Front Range will create a
chance for showers and thunderstorms this evening over southeast
NM and the Guadalupe Mnts. Most of the upper dynamics will remain
to our north...however a few storms could be strong considering
the intense shear associated with the wave. Dry, westerly mid
level flow will settle over the region midweek helping to warm
temps well above normal. Another shortwave will dig south across
the Rockies late this week, dragging a cold front trough the area
Thursday. Low level moisture will remain to our east so expect a
dry frontal passage. Temperatures will cool only slightly behind
the front Friday before warming back up over the weekend as an
upper ridge builds to our west. The area should continue to dry
out from last weeks flooding as lots of sun, lower dewpoints, and
moderate winds are expected all week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 81  63  87  64  /   0  10  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              85  67  89  69  /   0  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                82  62  88  60  /  10  20  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  89  68  95  71  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           84  65  92  66  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          77  61  80  59  /  10  20  10  10
HOBBS NM                   80  59  84  59  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                   81  55  85  54  /  20  20  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    84  65  90  67  /   0  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  82  66  88  67  /   0  10  10  10
WINK TX                    86  65  90  64  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

10/29

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