Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
FXUS64 KMAF 140641
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1241 AM CST Sat Jan 14 2017
Upglide continues to increase over the region early this morning
with light rain developing over the Permian Basin. Boundary layer
temperatures are above freezing, however surface temperatures along
and north of a Tarzan to Snyder line have fallen below freezing in
many places. Expect surface temperatures to drop to freezing or
below as far south as a Tarzan to Big Spring to Colorado City
through late tonight as light rain increases in these areas, and wet
bulbing occurs with surface dewpoints in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Have decided to issue a Freezing Rain Advisory for Dawson and
Martin, eastward to Scurry and Mitchell counties, which will last
until 14/18Z. Although the ground is warm, a thin layer of ice
could accumulate on power lines, trees, and bridges and
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1054 PM CST Fri Jan 13 2017/
Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.
Challenging flight conditions will continue the next 24 hours.
MVFR and IFR conditions in low clouds and fog are affecting all
terminals, with deterioration to LIFR expected late tonight
through much of Saturday morning for MAF, INK, HOB, and PEQ. Light
rain is expected to develop by Saturday morning for all but
possibly PEQ and FST, and while isolated thunderstorms are
possible on Saturday areawide, have not included mention at this
time. Winds will generally be E/NE around 10-15KT.
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 148 PM CST Fri Jan 13 2017/
Strong cut off low over CA will move east and bring precipitation to
the region. This low will swing across Baja on Saturday and
Northern Mexico into TX on Sunday. By Monday the low moves into
OK/KS. A secondary low may move near the area midweek.
A cold front moved into the area yesterday and has become stationary
near the Pecos River with cloud cover over most of the region.
Behind the front it is cold with a NE wind while much warmer and
generally a south wind ahead of it. Lows tonight should be in the
30s north and 50s south... warms a little tomorrow to highs in the
40s north with 60s and 70s south. This front may become focus for
future convection before slowly lifting north. Even warmer on
Rain chances looking good and increasing through the weekend.
Thunderstorms enter the forecast Saturday and continue Sunday.
Will continue mention of a little mixed precip NE Permian Basin
Saturday morning but not expecting much. On Saturday do have a
marginal risk of severe along the TX/NM border and a slight risk
severe on Sunday from ODO eastward. Locally heavy rain will be also
possible mainly Saturday night and Sunday. Drys out early next
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 48 42 57 40 / 60 60 80 20
Carlsbad 49 43 54 40 / 60 70 70 10
Dryden 72 58 69 44 / 40 50 60 10
Fort Stockton 60 50 65 42 / 50 50 70 10
Guadalupe Pass 55 43 48 34 / 40 70 70 10
Hobbs 45 40 53 35 / 70 80 80 20
Marfa 61 38 53 30 / 30 50 60 10
Midland Intl Airport 49 45 59 40 / 60 60 80 10
Odessa 49 47 57 40 / 70 60 80 10
Wink 52 46 59 36 / 60 70 70 10
TX...Freezing Rain Advisory until noon CST today for Borden-Dawson-