Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 181049
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
549 AM CDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail at all area terminals today and
tonight. Thunderstorms will develop this afternoon, but low
probability will prevent inclusion of TSRA at any sites.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 405 AM CDT Mon Sep 18 2017/

West to southwest flow is over the area with weak ridging aloft.
Good low-level moisture will be across the area today allowing for
a chance of thunderstorms mostly across the Davis Mountains and
surrounding areas south to the Rio Grande. Temperatures are
expected to be similar to yesterday with highs mostly in the 90s
today. Similar conditions will be present for Tuesday with a
dryline beginning to take shape and thunderstorms possible across
much of the area. The dryline becomes more defined across the far
eastern CWA on Wednesday with an upper trough over western
portions of the country.

The upper trough over the western part of the country digs
southward on Thursday with southeast surface winds across the area
bringing in good low-level moisture. Thunderstorms will be
possible mostly across the far eastern and western parts of the
CWA. Temperatures are expected to decrease slightly Thursday as
lower heights move over the area from the upper trough. The trough
moves slightly eastward on Friday with temperatures continuing to
decrease. Thunderstorms will again be possible across the whole
area with the greatest chances across southeast New Mexico and the
Guadalupe Mountains. This same trend continues into the weekend
with the upper trough moving closer to the region and having more
of an impact across the area. Storm chances look to be better
across the area Saturday and Sunday with the highest chances
across western and central parts of the CWA. Temperatures are
expected to cool to near normal values Saturday and Sunday. Storm
chances continue into Monday with a cold front expected to push
into the area. Severe thunderstorms will be possible Thursday
through Monday, although it looks like it will become more
favorable beginning Saturday as the upper trough gets closer.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     94  71  95  72 /  20  10  20  20
Carlsbad                       95  66  97  67 /  20  10  10  10
Dryden                         96  73  97  73 /  20  10  20  20
Fort Stockton                  95  71  95  71 /  20  10  20  20
Guadalupe Pass                 88  64  88  65 /  20  20  10  10
Hobbs                          92  64  93  64 /  20  10  20  10
Marfa                          87  60  88  60 /  30  20  30  20
Midland Intl Airport           95  71  96  72 /  20  10  20  20
Odessa                         95  71  96  71 /  20  10  20  20
Wink                           97  71  98  70 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/



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