Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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097
FXUS64 KMAF 100945
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
345 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Not many changes to the current forecast.  WV imagery shows the
west coast ridge remains highly-amplified, has moved further
inland, and is now centered over CA/NV, leaving dry, NW flow aloft
over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.  00Z KMAF RAOB came in
w/a PWAT of 0.11", or about 34% of normal.  However, sat PWAT
imagery shows a dry AMS almost nationwide. To the west, a cut-off
low has undercut the ridge, and is centered over Baja.

The next couple of days should be similar to yesterday`s, if not
warmer, as 850mb temps rise under light westerly flow. Late
Sunday night, a Canadian shortwave will immigrate into the upper
CONUS, and send a weak cold front our way. This feature will work
its way int o the area late Monday night, w/fropa at KMAF around
07Z Tue.  This will bring temps Tue afternoon down closer to
normal, but still above.  Temps come up a little Wed, but a
shortwave is forecast to move thru the west coast ridge, and push
a stronger secondary cold front thru the region late Wed night,
w/fropa at KMAF around 08Z Thu. This will actually take temps Thu
afternoon below normal.  Temps rebound back to above-normal
Fri/Sat.  Unfortunately, grids stay dry into the extended.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     69  32  70  35 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       63  29  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         66  38  68  40 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  65  35  66  36 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 57  37  58  36 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          66  31  68  32 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          58  29  61  29 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           68  34  68  36 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         67  35  68  35 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           66  32  66  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

84/44



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