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000
FXUS64 KMAF 081131
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
531 AM CST Sat Mar 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
A strong cold front is currently moving through the area this
morning having passed through most TAF sites already.  CNM and FST
are still ahead of this front and will have fropa in the next few hours.
Gusty north wind of 30kts+ can be expected behind the front along
with blowing dust.  Stratus behind the front will produce MVFR cigs
during the morning.  A low chance of showers.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 440 AM CST Sat Mar 8 2014/

DISCUSSION...

Very light rain is currently falling across parts of West Texas and
southeast New Mexico behind and along a cold front that is around
the Trans Pecos area.  This front will finish moving through the
area today with high temperatures being about 25 degrees cooler than
yesterday.  The rain is expected to move south of the Pecos River by
tonight with a slight chance of a rain/snow mix in the Davis
Mountains.  Temperatures on Sunday will begin to warm up as the
clouds clear out of the area.  The rain will mostly be confined to
the Big Bend area by Sunday as the upper low moves southward into
Mexico.

The upper low will move east with most of the precipitation
being south and east of the Rio Grande River by Monday.  A lee
surface trough will develop on the backside of this low and will
contribute to warmer temperatures for Monday afternoon.  On Tuesday,
another upper trough will approach the region from the north and
west allowing for the surface trough to strengthen.  Surface winds
across the area will become westerly as a response to the surface
trough moving eastward.  These westerly winds will further aid in
warmer temperatures via compressional warming.  The approaching
upper trough will split with a portion of it breaking away and
moving over the Central Plains. A cold front will push into the CWA
on Wednesday from this portion of the upper trough.  This will cause
high temperatures for Wednesday to be about 20 degrees cooler.
Temperatures will begin to warm on Thursday as the surface high
associated with the colder air moves east of the region. A lee
surface trough begins to develop in advance of the remaining portion
of the upper trough approaching the area.  The upper trough will
move over the region on Friday sending a weak cold front into the
area but this will not have much impact on temperatures as a warm up
is expected into next weekend.  No precipitation is expected with
these fronts.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$