Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 291949
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
249 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Mid-level cloudiness persists across the eastern half of the region
this afternoon and has resulted in a slow warm up so far today
across these areas. Currently seeing temperatures ranging from the
mid and upper 70s east to the mid and upper 80s west as of 2pm CDT.
This is a nice break from the 90s temps we`ve been seeing lately. A
weak MCV will continue to move east across the Permian Basin with
some lingering light showers persisting across eastern zones. This
activity is showing some signs of weakening and think it will
dissipate shortly. On the other hand, if these areas can get a
little more heating as clouds break up, showers could continue into
the evening hours. Otherwise, currently seeing some
heating/destabilization near the mountain region resulting in
rapidly popping cu seen on VIS satellite. Will carry mention
of thunderstorms across these areas through this evening as well.

Upper ridging remains anchored over the Desert SW today and looks to
remain there heading into the upcoming work week. Skies will begin
to clear tonight and temperatures will climb back into the 90s
most places Sunday. The warming trend will continue Monday with
above normal highs expected through the work week. Not seeing much
in the way of precip through mid/late week with no signs of any
surface features and continued subsidence thanks to the upper
ridge. Toward the end of the week, the upper ridge will slide east
and build NE through the Central/Southern Plains while a lee
surface trough extend south through western portions of the
region. Could see an uptick in rain chances, particularly for SE
NM and western portions of W TX being on the western periphery of
the upper ridge and invof the surface trough. Will continue to
carry some slight chance PoPs Thursday through next weekend across
these areas. Model guidance suggest a slight cooling of 850 mb
temps next weekend and may trend highs a degree or two cooler for
now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  66  93  67  96  /  10   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                    66  93  65  97  /  20   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                      72  97  71  99  /  10   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX               67  94  67  97  /  10   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX              64  85  65  89  /  20   0   0  10
HOBBS NM                       63  92  63  93  /  10   0   0   0
MARFA TX                       57  86  55  88  /  20  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        67  94  67  97  /  10   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                      68  93  67  96  /  10   0   0   0
WINK TX                        67  96  67  98  /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

67/27



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