Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 121058
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
558 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Winds will become
gusty at KFST by this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 310 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Today have an upper ridge over the SE US with upper trough moving
along the US/CAN border. A secondary lobe of this trough will
move down into the country Friday and cross the Northern Rockies
early Saturday and Central Plains late in the day. This trough
will push a front southward... and as the trough passes to the NE
the upper ridge will shift west to Mexico.

Should not see low clouds this morning with a sunny day expected.
However tomorrow morning low clouds expected to return over the
Permian Basin and Trans Pecos as low level moisture increases with
dewpts returning to the 60s.

After the one day cool down temps heated up quickly yesterday and
returned to near normal. Guidance was too cool so will go over it
today as expect temps to warm into the mid 80s for much of the
region with 90s along Pecos and Rio Grande Valleys. Friday and
Saturday will remain warm but another significant cold front will
blow through the region Sunday. This will provide another couple
of days of cooler wx before 80s return again mid week. Looks to be
very gusty NE wind with fropa... a high wind event will be
possible for GDP. Have increased wind at GDP Sunday and will
mention in HWO.

Rain chances begin to return to the forecast Friday night over SE
NM. Sunday still looking like best chance of rain for the area
with precip developing along and behind the front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     85  63  87  65 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       88  61  89  63 /   0   0  10  20
Dryden                         86  65  89  68 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  87  64  90  65 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 83  63  84  63 /   0   0  10  20
Hobbs                          84  60  86  62 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          83  50  85  51 /   0   0  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           86  63  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         86  63  88  66 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           89  63  91  64 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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