Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 120815
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
215 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and strong surface high pressure centered across the
northern plains and upper Mississippi Valley will be the main
weather influence through Tuesday. No precipitation is expected
and a southeasterly low level flow on the back side of this
moderating system will allow temperatures to approach near normal
values by Tuesday afternoon. By Wednesday and Thursday much above
normal temperatures and continued dry conditions are expected as a
new lee surface low/surface trough with low level thermal ridging
forms and strengthens in a southwesterly flow aloft regime.

Looks like unsettled weather will return to the forecast area
Thursday night through at least Saturday as an upper level trough
approaches the forecast area from the rockies. The trough will
push a cold front through the region late Thursday night/Friday.
At the same time the trough and the associated right rear quadrant
of the upper level jet will provide plenty of post frontal lift
to bring a shot of precipitation to the area. At this time the
best lift and moisture with this system appears to be maximized
across areas south and west of the Pecos River in west Texas. Was
not ready to go with likely pops from superblend for that region
this far out but did go with good chance pops their. There also is
the potential for some mixed precipitation or snow across
portions of the forecast area late Friday but confidence in the
signal was not high enough at this time to mention.

Moderating temperatures with a chance of showers may be in the
offing next Sunday across southwest Texas as another upper level
trough approaches the region from the west.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     53  30  61  47 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       55  28  62  36 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         55  33  62  45 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  59  35  65  45 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 52  37  62  45 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          51  26  60  38 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          61  28  68  36 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           54  33  61  45 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         54  32  61  45 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           56  29  63  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

72/12



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