Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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344
FXUS64 KMAF 270915
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
415 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...

An upper level trough is beginning to pass over the central conus.
The dryline is across the Western Low Rolling Plains and far eastern
Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos with the thunderstorms east of
the CWA. The dryline will push east of the area by this afternoon
with west to southwest winds behind it.  Temperatures are expected
to be a little bit cooler today as height falls occur over the area.
Decided to stay on the warm side of guidance since guidance has been
too cool lately.

An active weather pattern is in store from Saturday through the end
of the forecast.  Various shortwaves and upper troughs will impact
the region keeping a chance of rain and thunderstorms in the
forecast.  The models are not in good agreement on the placement of
the rain through most of the forecast but it seems the best chances
will be across the northern and eastern sections of the CWA.
Temperatures are expected to be warmer than normal through the
weekend but will cool to below normal next week.  A cold front will
move through the area on Wednesday cooling temperatures into the
upper 70s to lower 80s for much of the area heading into late next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     93  60  94  68 /  10   0  10  20
Carlsbad                       90  55  94  61 /   0   0   0  10
Dryden                         96  64  91  72 /  10  10  30  30
Fort Stockton                  94  60  94  68 /   0   0  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 82  56  87  60 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                          87  53  92  65 /   0   0   0  20
Marfa                          83  42  88  53 /   0   0  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           94  60  95  68 /   0   0  10  20
Odessa                         93  60  95  68 /   0   0  10  20
Wink                           93  57  97  68 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/80



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