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000
FXUS64 KMAF 100447
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1147 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light southeast winds gusting in the afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 253 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2014/

DISCUSSION...

Not much has changed in the past 24 hours, and not much change is
expected in the next 48 hours. Deep layer easterly flow aloft and
southeasterly winds at the surface will prevail. Thunderstorm
chances, such as they are, will remain confined to the mountains
this afternoon/evening and again tomorrow afternoon/evening. An
upper (TUTT?) low over deep south Texas will retrograde westward
equatorward of the subtropical high Friday and Saturday, and modest
lift in advance of this system may be enough to increase rain
chances slightly west of the Pecos. Temperatures will remain near
climatology through Saturday, then increase Sunday through
Wednesday as the subtropical high builds southward a bit. Extended
range models are hinting at a cold front/outflow boundary and an
associated uptick in precipitation chances entering the picture
Thursday. Have cooled temperatures a bit on Thursday but at this
time am not buying off on an increase in thunderstorm chances
late next week until I see the towers build along the boundary.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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